Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev will face off in the first round of the 2024 French Open. Sure, Nadal is ranked 276th in the world after barely playing over the course of the last year, but how is this fair to Zverev, who is seeded 4th? In our French Open Power rankings , we had Zverev 3rd and Nadal 14th.
Meanwhile, Kei Nishikori, ranked 350th in the world, will face a yet-to-be-named qualifier. Max Purcell (92nd), Christopher O’Connell (68th), Miomir Kecmanovic (55th), Marcos Giron (48th), Jan-Lennard Struff (39th), Jack Draper (35th), and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (34th), among others, also face yet-to-be-named qualifiers. Fellow high seed Hubert Hurkacz, seeded 8th, draws a qualifier, as does number 3 Carlos Alcaraz.
This situation highlights the absurdity of the tennis draw system. It’s ridiculous that Zverev, a top-seeded player, has to face a challenging opponent like Nadal in the first round, while other high seeds get much easier matchups. The system is clearly flawed and needs to be reevaluated for the sake of fairness and competitiveness in the sport.
Previous Ridiculous Draws
If you’re a hardcore tennis fan, the draw releases are one of the most thrilling moments in the season. You could liken it to the excitement of having the NCAA March Madness field announced four times a year. As tennis fans, we can only hope for draws to be as fair and balanced as the NCAA, but unfortunately, that’s not always the case. One aspect of tennis that has always frustrated me is how some elements of the draws and individual matchups seem absurd.
It’s puzzling to see the top seeds pitted against top 40 players in the first round of a 128-field draw. Meanwhile, wildcards and much lower-ranked players often enjoy more favorable matchups against each other. I’ve witnessed instances where the Big 3 (Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal), found themselves facing off against top 35 players in the opening round. There have even been occasions where one of them or other players in the draws encountered opponents ranked beyond 600. I distinctly remember one instance where Federer was matched against the 1370th ranked player. Such discrepancies undermine the integrity of the Grand Slams.
1st Round Opponents In the Top 50
| Since 2010 | Top 50 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Djokovic | |||
| 2020 | USO | 37 | Struff |
| 2019 | FO | 44 | Hurkacz |
| 2018 | USO | 41 | Fucsovics |
| 2017 | Wim | 47 | Klizan |
| 2017 | AO | 40 | Verdasco |
| 2015 | Wim | 33 | Kohlschreiber |
| 2014 | FO | 44 | Sousa |
| 2013 | Wim | 34 | Mayer |
| 2012 | Wim | 38 | Ferrero |
| 2011 | AO | 42 | Granollers |
| 2010 | USO | 47 | Troicki |
| Nadal | |||
| 2022 | Wim | 41 | Cerundolo |
| 2017 | FO | 45 | Paire |
| 2017 | AO | 49 | Mayer |
| 2016 | AO | 45 | Verdasco |
| 2015 | USO | 33 | Coric |
| 2015 | Wim | 42 | Bellucci |
| 2015 | AO | 49 | Youzhny |
| 2011 | FO | 39 | Isner |
| Federer | |||
| 2021 | Wim | 41 | Mannarino |
| 2015 | USO | 35 | Mayer |
| 2015 | AO | 47 | Hsun-Lu |
| 2013 | Wim | 48 | Hanescu |
| 2013 | AO | 46 | Paire |
| 2012 | Wim | 43 | Ramos-Vinolas |
| 2011 | FO | 41 | Lopez |
| 2010 | AO | 37 | Andreev |
The plight of players like Paolo Lorenzi and Philipp Kohlschreiber underscores the inherent inequities within the tennis draw system. Lorenzi’s unfortunate encounters with Djokovic and Federer in the opening rounds of prestigious tournaments such as the Australian Open, US Open, and Wimbledon highlight the arbitrary nature of draw allocations. Similarly, Kohlschreiber’s repeated clashes against Djokovic in the first round at Wimbledon, despite being ranked 33rd and 57th in the world during those respective seasons, epitomize the frustrations faced by players on the cusp of seeding.
The systemic flaws within the draw system not only undermine the competitiveness of the sport but also perpetuate a sense of injustice for players who have worked diligently to earn their rankings. Kohlschrieber was ranked 33rd and the top 32 players receive seeds. His reward was to play number 1 seed and eventual champion Djokovic. Addressing these issues is essential to ensure a more equitable and balanced playing field for all competitors.
2011 US Open Semifinals
The opening round isn’t the worst part of grand slam draws. Often, the number 1 seed is placed on the same side as the 3rd seed, while the 2nd and 4th seeds are on the other side. This setup unfairly forces the top player to potentially face two of the Big 3 before the finals, while the 2nd seed faces just one. For example, there was a massive distinction in the top 3 in the Big 3 era. Andy Murray’s three majors compared to the Big 3 each with 20+ each highlight the impact of facing tougher opponents. If you earn the 1 seed your reward shouldn’t be to face numbers 2 and three potentially.

Stupid.
Conclusion
The draw system should prioritize fairness, ensuring that top seeds face appropriately lower-ranked players in the initial rounds. The remarkable resilience of the Big 3 is evident in the face of the challenging early rounds they often encounter. If this is indeed one of the Big 3’s and Nadal’s last French Open, it seems unjust that he wouldn’t receive a more favorable draw as a farewell. Similarly, it’s unfair to Zverev to face such a formidable opponent in the first round of the tournament.
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