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2025-26 Big Ten Basketball Preview

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Our team ADJeff (Adjusted Efficiency) rating primarily measures the talent of returning players. It does not account for factors such as coaching, team fit, continuity, spacing, etc. While it serves as a crucial guidepost for evaluating experienced and proven talent— which is the primary component of the rankings— coaching, fit, and other factors are also considered. This is why these rankings are not solely based on ADJeff.

*Players Below without a blue hyperlink are projected

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Team
ADJeff
ADJeff
Rank
2024-25
1Purdue4.1715
7Illinois3.9317
14Michigan3.8621
18Wisconsin3.03312
19UCLA3.41820
21Ohio State3.61337
28Oregon3.03427
29USC3.51657
30Washington3.421104
32Michigan State2.9357
38Iowa2.55462
42Indiana2.74445
43Maryland2.64710
48Nebraska2.64846
52Northwestern2.36444
55Minnesota2.36683
89Rutgers1.99070
97Penn State1.89458
IllinoisIllinois slots in at No. 2 with one of the most intriguing and internationally flavored rosters in the country. The Ivisic brothers headline the frontcourt — Tomislav (5.3 rating, 17th nationally) and Zvonimir (3.6, 116th) — giving Illinois elite size, skill, and instant chemistry. Mihailo Petrovic (4.6, 38th) brings major two-way upside from overseas. Kylan Boswell (3.9, 84th) returns to lead the backcourt, while Andrej Stojakovic (3.5, 135th) adds smooth wing scoring. David Mirkovic (3.0, 233rd), Ben Humrichous (2.9, 258th), and Ty Rodgers (2.9, 259th) offer rotation depth, though Rodgers’ status could impact their physicality. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (1.8, 685th) supplies energy in limited minutes. With a balanced mix of European skill, returning experience, and positionless size, Illinois is built to contend — and if the pieces mesh, the ceiling is Final Four-level.
IndianaIndiana ranks 12th in the Big Ten and 42nd nationally with a 2.7 team rating, The roster feels more like a mid-major all-star squad than a serious Big Ten contender. Tucker DeVries leads the way but is somewhat overrated at 128th nationally with a 3.5 rating; his limited sample size—just eight games last year—featured unsustainable shooting and questionable health. A more realistic ceiling for DeVries might be closer to a 4.4 rating, around the 45th-best player nationally. Supporting him are Reed Bailey (169th) and Luke Goode (194th), who add depth, but Indiana’s shooting struggles and tougher schedule loom large. Lamar Wilkerson (231st, 3.0 rating) is a potential breakout star, comparable to transfers like Lu’Cye Patterson and Ace Baldwin, but it’s unclear if he can perform consistently against Big Ten-level competition. Coach Mike DeVries has a solid background but lacks a proven high ceiling, with much of his past success tied to coaching his son at Drake.
IowaIowa ranks 11th in the Big Ten and 38th nationally with a 2.5 team rating, slipping from 62nd last year. Their biggest asset is McCullom, arguably one of the best talent maximizers in college basketball despite limited Division 1 experience. Key contributors returning include Drake (52nd nationally) and Bennett Stirtz (3.7 rating, 95th), who drives the offense. The team’s ceiling largely depends on Alvaro Folgueiras (2.0 rating, 580th), who hasn’t yet shown significant production and raises questions about his upside compared to similar players. Other prospects to watch are Brendan Hausen (3.1, 203rd) and Tavion Banks (2.6, 340th). Iowa’s success hinges on unlocking hidden potential and consistency.
MarylandMaryland sits 13th in the Big Ten and 43rd nationally with a 2.6 rating, a noticeable drop from 10th last year. Pharrel Payne (4.9 rating, 28th nationally) is the team’s key upside player but faces the challenge of earning consistent playing time — something he struggled with last season despite his elite production against a top-10 strength of schedule. Maryland’s talent pool is thinner overall, increasing the pressure on Payne to step up and carry a heavier load. Other contributors include Myles Rice (2.9 rating, 250th) and Elijah Saunders (2.5, 363rd), but depth remains a significant concern. Coach Buzz Williams’ system often underperforms due to limited shooting and a deep rotation, making talent maximization difficult. Maryland’s success will depend heavily on Payne’s minutes and production.
MichiganMichigan ranks No. 3 in the Big Ten and 14th nationally, anchored by a strong frontcourt duo. Morez Johnson (4.5 rating, 47th nationally) and Yaxel Lendeborg (4.1, 63rd) give Michigan a balanced and productive frontline. While Yaxel showed huge promise last year, this season his impact is more uncertain, especially with the arrival of Elliot Cadeau (3.1, 210th), raising questions about role fit and offensive flow. The supporting cast is deep and talented, with Nimari Burnett (3.6, 126th), Trey McKenney (3.5, 147th), Roddy Gayle Jr. (3.4, 159th), and Aday Mara (3.4, 160th) all inside the top 210 nationally. Michigan’s success hinges on finding clear roles and rhythm, but if they do, they will be serious contenders for the Big Ten crown.
Michigan StateMichigan State ranks sixth in the Big Ten and 20th nationally, led by Hall of Famer Tom Izzo but facing notable shooting limitations. The Spartans lack a one-and-done star to rescue them, though talent remains solid. Coen Carr (4.5 rating, 48th nationally) and Jaxon Kohler (4.2, 58th) anchor the frontcourt with size and skill. Jeremy Fears Jr. (3.3, 175th) runs point, supported by Carson Cooper (2.8, 285th) and Kaleb Glenn (injured out of season) in the rotation. Michigan State’s classic grind-it-out style clashes with their shooting woes; the addition of sharpshooter Trey Fort (1.9 rating, 650th) offers little spacing upgrade. Without a significant leap in shooting, the ceiling is limited, though the floor remains solid under Izzo’s steady leadership.
Minnesota Minnesota ranks 16th in the Big Ten and 55th nationally with a 2.3 rating, improving slightly from 83rd last year. Newcomer Jaylen Crocker-Johnson (2.9 rating, 256th nationally) joins Coach Ben Medved from Colorado State, adding valuable continuity and experience. While Minnesota’s talent isn’t overwhelming, Medved’s track record of overachievement makes them a team to watch. Supporting players Robert Vaihola (2.7, 308th) and Bobby Durkin (2.6, 341st) provide solid depth and could help stabilize the rotation. Expect Minnesota to lean on strong coaching and teamwork as they look to climb the conference ranks.
Nebraska Nebraska ranks 14th in the Big Ten and 48th nationally with a 2.6 rating, slightly down from 46th last season. Despite never winning an NCAA tournament game, the Huskers hope to maintain their recent level with key returnee Rienk Mast (3.4 rating, 157th nationally) leading the way. Shooters Connor Essegian (136th) and Pryce Sandfort (284th) add valuable floor spacing. Mast’s health will be critical for Nebraska’s success, as staying strong could help offset some roster losses. Overall, Nebraska faces an uphill battle to break through but has some pieces in place to remain competitive.
NorthwesternNorthwestern ranks 15th in the Big Ten and 52nd nationally with a 2.3 rating, down from 44th last year. Nick Martinelli leads the way as a clear standout, ranked 40th nationally with a 4.5 rating. Coach Chris Collins remains an underrated figure who consistently maximizes his roster’s potential despite limited talent. However, beyond Martinelli, Northwestern’s depth is thin, and the overall roster takes a significant step back, raising questions about their ability to compete consistently in a tough conference.
Ohio StateOhio State ranks seventh in the Big Ten and 22nd nationally, boasting a roster loaded with top-tier talent despite some coaching doubts. Bruce Thornton leads the way, ranking ninth nationally with a 5.5 rating—one of the best returning players in the country. Devin Royal (5.0, 25th) and center Josh Ojianwuna (4.3, 54th) anchor the frontcourt, while sharpshooter John Mobley Jr. (3.5, 134th) and promising freshmen Christoph Tilly (3.4, 156th) and Brandon Noel (2.2, 466th) add depth. The talent here is undeniable—ranked 13th nationally—but skepticism remains about Jake Diebler’s coaching ability. If he can manage this roster well, Ohio State will be a force to reckon with.
OregonOregon ranks eighth in the Big Ten and 29th nationally, anchored by an elite talent in Nathan Bittle. Bittle is the third-best returning player in the country with a 6.2 rating, providing a dominant presence inside. Returning point guard Jackson Shelstad (3.7, 104th) offers continuity, though some may overrate him. Kwame Evans (3.0, 232nd) and Duke transfer Sean Stewart (2.6, 329th) bring talent but need to prove consistency. Depth remains a concern, especially on the wing where players like Dez Lindsay and Devon Pryor rank outside the top 700. How Coach Dana Altman manages Evans and Stewart in the forward rotation could be pivotal, but with Bittle and Shelstad leading the way, Oregon has a solid floor.
Penn StatePenn State ranks 18th in the Big Ten and 97th nationally with a 1.8 rating, a steep fall from 58th last year. Replacing key contributors like Ace Baldwin and Niederhauser presents a huge challenge for Coach Rhodes. Freddie Dilione V leads the team with a 2.3 rating (435th nationally), closely followed by Kayden Mingo (2.3, 448th), but overall production is expected to decline significantly. Penn State faces a tough rebuild with a thin roster and a difficult path forward.
PurduePurdue enters 2025-26 as the clear No. 1 in the Big Ten — and the nation. No program returns more high-end talent or has more continuity. Trey Kaufman-Renn (6.3 rating, 2nd nationally), Braden Smith (5.6, 4th), and Fletcher Loyer (4.3, 55th) form an elite returning trio. The addition of Oscar Cluff (3.6, 110th) from Washington State gives Purdue something they lacked: real interior defense. CJ Cox (3.0, 237th) adds experience off the bench, while younger depth like Gicarri Harris and Omer Mayer (1.7 range) provide insurance. Purdue’s model — veteran core, minimal roster turnover, and Matt Painter’s consistency — stands out in a year where many top teams rely on freshmen. With super seniors mostly gone, Purdue’s experience gives them a real edge. This isn’t just a Big Ten favorite. It’s a national title contender.
RutgersRutgers ranks 17th in the Big Ten and 89th nationally with a 1.9 ADJeff rating, down from 70th last season. Despite having two high lottery picks last year, Coach Pikiell’s roster building has been underwhelming, with Rutgers finishing between 70th and 100th nationally in three of the last four years. Their top player, Harun Zrno (2.8 rating, 296th nationally), has solid international stats, but other contributors like Darren Buchanan (2.7, 327th) and Jamichael Davis (2.1, 481st) offer limited impact. Even with one of the highest coaching salaries in college basketball (26th as of March 13), Rutgers has struggled to maximize its talent. Without significant roster or coaching upgrades, the team faces another challenging season.
UCLAUCLA checks in at No. 5 in the Big Ten and 19th nationally, boasting underrated frontcourt continuity. Eric Dailey (4.6 rating, 36th) and Tyler Bilodeau (4.5, 41st) form a strong frontcourt duo, while transfer Donovan Dent (4.2, 57th) adds significant backcourt talent. Last year’s 20th-ranked Bruins improve their core with Dent, plus shooters like Skyy Clark (3.5, 140th) and rotation player Steven Jamerson (2.8, 297th). The key question mark is Xavier Booker (2.0, outside top 500), who replaces Aday Mara. If Booker’s potential clicks, UCLA could surpass expectations. Though lacking a single star, their size, balance, and continuity give them a solid foundation in the conference.
USCUSC ranks ninth in the Big Ten and 30th nationally, slipping slightly from 57th last season with a 3.5 team rating. Their standout star is Baker-Mazarra, a top-15 national talent ranked 13th with a 5.3 rating. As arguably the best transfer this offseason, he averaged 12.3 points in just 25.6 minutes against elite competition, shooting an efficient .604 true shooting percentage. Backcourt depth includes Alijah Arenas (3.7, 108th), Rodney Rice (3.5, 132nd), and Terrance Williams (3.5, 149th). Ezra Ausar (3.3, 176th) and Jacob Cofie (2.8, 288th) add rotation support. However, USC’s post players remain a concern, and Coach Musselman faces the challenge of addressing this potential bottleneck to meet expectations.
WashingtonWashington ranks 10th in the Big Ten and 31st nationally, climbing dramatically from 104th last season with a 3.4 team rating. The real standout is Hannes Steinbach, ranked 20th nationally with a 5.2 rating — quietly one of the best players flying under the radar. His international stats translate impressively, arguably making him the second-best player on the team behind Fru, who averages 12.4 points and a 23.1 PER. Other key contributors include Desmond Claude (3.6, 118th), Wesley Yates III (3.5, 129th), and Mady Traore (3.2, 193rd), all solid top-150 talents providing a strong foundation for the Huskies’ rise.
WisconsinWisconsin sits 18th nationally, returning key firepower led by Nolan Winter (4.7 rating, 31st overall) and John Blackwell (4.1, 64th). This duo anchors an offense built on precision, execution, and efficiency. Nick Boyd (3.4, 152nd) adds steady rotation minutes, supported by Andrew Rohde (2.5, 369th), Austin Rapp (2.1, 522nd), and Aleksas Bieliauskas (2.0, 589th). Winter’s impressive 135 offensive rating and 23 PER against a tough top-25 schedule highlight his value. While Wisconsin’s top-end talent is solid, their depth is thinner than last year. If the supporting cast improves, expect Wisconsin to challenge near the top of the Big Ten again.
National
Rank
Big TenADJeff
2Trey Kaufman-RennPurdue6.3
3Nathan BittleOregon6.2
4Braden SmithPurdue5.6
9Bruce ThorntonOhio State5.5
13Chad Baker-MazaraUSC5.3
17Tomislav IvisicIllinois5.3
20Hannes SteinbachWashington5.2
25Devin RoyalOhio State5.0
28Pharrel PayneMaryland4.9
31Nolan WinterWisconsin4.7
36Eric DaileyUCLA4.6
38Mihailo PetrovicIllinois4.6
40Nick MartinelliNorthwestern4.5
41Tyler BilodeauUCLA4.5
47Morez JohnsonMichigan4.5
54Josh OjianwunaOhio State4.3
55Fletcher LoyerPurdue4.3
57Donovan DentUCLA4.2
58Jaxon KohlerMichigan State4.2
63Yaxel LendeborgMichigan4.1
64John BlackwellWisconsin4.1
84Kylan BoswellIllinois3.9
89Coen CarrMichigan State3.9
95Bennett StirtzIowa3.7
104Jackson ShelstadOregon3.7
108Alijah ArenasUSC3.7
110Oscar CluffPurdue3.6
116Zvonimir IvisicIllinois3.6
118Desmond ClaudeWashington3.6
126Nimari BurnettMichigan3.6
128Tucker DeVriesIndiana3.5
129Wesley Yates IIIWashington3.5
132Rodney RiceUSC3.5
134John Mobley Jr.Ohio State3.5
135Andrej StojakovicIllinois3.5
136Connor EssegianNebraska3.5
140Skyy ClarkUCLA3.5
149Terrance WilliamsUSC3.5
152Nick BoydWisconsin3.4
156Christoph TillyOhio State3.4
157Rienk MastNebraska3.4
159Roddy Gayle Jr.Michigan3.4
160Aday MaraMichigan3.4
169Reed BaileyIndiana3.3
175Jeremy Fears Jr.Michigan State3.3
176Ezra AusarUSC3.3
193Mady TraoreWashington3.2
194Luke GoodeIndiana3.2
203Brendan HausenIowa3.1
210Elliot CadeauMichigan3.1
231Lamar WilkersonIndiana3.0
232Kwame EvansOregon3.0
233David MirkovicIllinois3.0
237C.J. CoxPurdue3.0
250Myles RiceMaryland2.9
254Lathan SommervilleWashington2.9
256Jaylen Crocker-JohnsonMinnesota2.9
258Ben HumrichousIllinois2.9
259Ty RodgersIllinois2.9
284Pryce SandfortNebraska2.8
285Carson CooperMichigan State2.8
288Jacob CofieUSC2.8
296Harun ZrnoRutgers2.8
297Steven JamersonUCLA2.8
304Kaleb Glenn(RS)Michigan State2.7
308Robert VaiholaMinnesota2.7
319Zoom DialloWashington2.7
327Darren BuchananRutgers2.7
329Sean StewartOregon2.6
340Tavion BanksIowa2.6
341Bobby DurkinMinnesota2.6
363Elijah SaundersMaryland2.5
369Andrew RohdeWisconsin2.5
371Berke BuyuktuncelNebraska2.5
385Franck KepnangWashington2.5
389Sasa CianiPenn State2.4
398Ugnius JaruseviciusNebraska2.4
399Cam ManyawuIowa2.4
404Justin MullinsNorthwestern2.4
417Trey McKenneyMichigan2.4
423Jacob OgnacevicWashington2.3
424Tayton ConerwayIndiana2.3
435Freddie Dilione VPenn State2.3
440Isaac AsumaMinnesota2.3
446Cade TysonMinnesota2.3
448Kayden MingoPenn State2.3
466Brandon NoelOhio State2.2
475Isaiah WattsMaryland2.2
481Jamichael DavisRutgers2.2
504Jaden BrownellUSC2.2
508Dylan GrantRutgers2.2
511Sam AlexisIndiana2.1
519David CoitMaryland2.1
520Jamar BrownUCLA2.1
522Austin RappWisconsin2.1
534Sam HoibergNebraska2.1
556Tre SingletonNorthwestern2.1
576Jordan MarshUSC2.0
580Alvaro FolgueirasIowa2.0
582Xavier BookerUCLA2.0
589Aleksas BieliauskasWisconsin2.0
606Cooper KochIowa2.0
633Jayden ReidNorthwestern1.9
636Keonte JonesUSC1.9
650Trey FortMichigan State1.9
657Darius AdamsMaryland1.9
685Dra Gibbs-LawhornIllinois1.8
690Conor EnrightIndiana1.8
692Josh HarrisIndiana1.8
694Langston ReynoldsMinnesota1.8
700Quimari PetersonWashington1.8
708Amarion DickersonUSC1.8
709K.J. WindhamNorthwestern1.8
718Trent SisleyIndiana1.8
730Jordan ClaytonNorthwestern1.8
732Dez LindsayOregon1.8
733Devon PryorOregon1.8
738Gabe DynesUSC1.8
741Josh ReedPenn State1.8
745Bryson TuckerWashington1.7
757Gicarri HarrisPurdue1.7
794Omer MayerPurdue1.7
808Chansey WillisMinnesota1.7
828Eli RicePenn State1.7
841Kendall BlueNebraska1.6
National
Rank
By TeamBig TenADJeff
17Tomislav IvisicIllinois5.3
38Mihailo PetrovicIllinois4.6
84Kylan BoswellIllinois3.9
116Zvonimir IvisicIllinois3.6
135Andrej StojakovicIllinois3.5
233David MirkovicIllinois3.0
258Ben HumrichousIllinois2.9
259Ty RodgersIllinois2.9
685Dra Gibbs-LawhornIllinois1.8
128Tucker DeVriesIndiana3.5
169Reed BaileyIndiana3.3
194Luke GoodeIndiana3.2
231Lamar WilkersonIndiana3.0
424Tayton ConerwayIndiana2.3
511Sam AlexisIndiana2.1
690Conor EnrightIndiana1.8
692Josh HarrisIndiana1.8
718Trent SisleyIndiana1.8
95Bennett StirtzIowa3.7
203Brendan HausenIowa3.1
340Tavion BanksIowa2.6
399Cam ManyawuIowa2.4
580Alvaro FolgueirasIowa2.0
606Cooper KochIowa2.0
28Pharrel PayneMaryland4.9
250Myles RiceMaryland2.9
363Elijah SaundersMaryland2.5
475Isaiah WattsMaryland2.2
519David CoitMaryland2.1
657Darius AdamsMaryland1.9
47Morez JohnsonMichigan4.5
63Yaxel LendeborgMichigan4.1
126Nimari BurnettMichigan3.6
159Roddy Gayle Jr.Michigan3.4
160Aday MaraMichigan3.4
210Elliot CadeauMichigan3.1
417Trey McKenneyMichigan2.4
48Coen CarrMichigan State4.5
58Jaxon KohlerMichigan State4.2
175Jeremy Fears Jr.Michigan State3.3
285Carson CooperMichigan State2.8
304Kaleb Glenn(RS)Michigan State2.7
650Trey FortMichigan State1.9
256Jaylen Crocker-JohnsonMinnesota2.9
308Robert VaiholaMinnesota2.7
341Bobby DurkinMinnesota2.6
440Isaac AsumaMinnesota2.3
446Cade TysonMinnesota2.3
694Langston ReynoldsMinnesota1.8
808Chansey WillisMinnesota1.7
136Connor EssegianNebraska3.5
157Rienk MastNebraska3.4
284Pryce SandfortNebraska2.8
371Berke BuyuktuncelNebraska2.5
398Ugnius JaruseviciusNebraska2.4
534Sam HoibergNebraska2.1
841Kendall BlueNebraska1.6
40Nick MartinelliNorthwestern4.5
404Justin MullinsNorthwestern2.4
556Tre SingletonNorthwestern2.1
633Jayden ReidNorthwestern1.9
709K.J. WindhamNorthwestern1.8
730Jordan ClaytonNorthwestern1.8
9Bruce ThorntonOhio State5.5
25Devin RoyalOhio State5.0
54Josh OjianwunaOhio State4.3
134John Mobley Jr.Ohio State3.5
156Christoph TillyOhio State3.4
466Brandon NoelOhio State2.2
3Nathan BittleOregon6.2
104Jackson ShelstadOregon3.7
232Kwame EvansOregon3.0
329Sean StewartOregon2.6
732Dez LindsayOregon1.8
733Devon PryorOregon1.8
435Freddie Dilione VPenn State2.3
448Kayden MingoPenn State2.3
741Josh ReedPenn State1.8
828Eli RicePenn State1.7
2Trey Kaufman-RennPurdue6.3
4Braden SmithPurdue5.6
55Fletcher LoyerPurdue4.3
110Oscar CluffPurdue3.6
237C.J. CoxPurdue3.0
757Gicarri HarrisPurdue1.7
794Omer MayerPurdue1.7
296Harun ZrnoRutgers2.8
327Darren BuchananRutgers2.7
481Jamichael DavisRutgers2.2
508Dylan GrantRutgers2.2
36Eric DaileyUCLA4.6
41Tyler BilodeauUCLA4.5
57Donovan DentUCLA4.2
140Skyy ClarkUCLA3.5
297Steven JamersonUCLA2.8
520Jamar BrownUCLA2.1
582Xavier BookerUCLA2.0
13Chad Baker-MazaraUSC5.3
108Alijah ArenasUSC3.7
132Rodney RiceUSC3.5
149Terrance WilliamsUSC3.5
176Ezra AusarUSC3.3
288Jacob CofieUSC2.8
504Jaden BrownellUSC2.2
576Jordan MarshUSC2.0
636Keonte JonesUSC1.9
708Amarion DickersonUSC1.8
738Gabe DynesUSC1.8
20Hannes SteinbachWashington5.2
118Desmond ClaudeWashington3.6
129Wesley Yates IIIWashington3.5
193Mady TraoreWashington3.2
254Lathan SommervilleWashington2.9
319Zoom DialloWashington2.7
385Franck KepnangWashington2.5
423Jacob OgnacevicWashington2.3
700Quimari PetersonWashington1.8
31Nolan WinterWisconsin4.7
64John BlackwellWisconsin4.1
152Nick BoydWisconsin3.4
369Andrew RohdeWisconsin2.5
522Austin RappWisconsin2.1
589Aleksas BieliauskasWisconsin2.0

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