The mock coaching carousel podcast exceeded expectations, and now, we’re diving into a new topic: the transfer portal. Today, we’ll speculate on which players might enter the portal this offseason. Some predictions might seem obvious, almost inevitable, especially considering how certain mid-major players have performed and the growing role of NIL deals. But as we all know, the portal is notoriously unpredictable. Just look at Hunter Dickinson’s surprise move last season. This discussion is built on educated guesses, informed by trends and variables, as we try to match players with schools that make sense for them.
Why Might Players Enter the Portal?
There are numerous reasons why players choose to enter the transfer portal. Here are the most common:
- Money: NIL deals have fundamentally altered the landscape, with players chasing lucrative offers.
- Frustration with playing time or role: Some players may feel their talents aren’t being fully utilized.
- Mid-major or low-major teams struggling with NIL: Schools with limited financial support may struggle to retain top talent.
- A breakout season: Players may outgrow their current program and seek a bigger stage.
- Coaching changes: Shifts in leadership can influence a player’s decision to transfer.
- Low NIL support or difficult coaching environments: Some players prefer environments where they feel they can thrive, both financially and personally.
- The transfer bug: Just as some players get comfortable moving between AAU teams, or multiple colleges, others feel compelled to transfer frequently.
For some players, the allure of change is simply too great to resist, and they are driven by an internal urge to move. These players are often the ones most likely to enter the portal.
| From | To | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yaxel Lendeborg | UAB | Kansas | UAB somehow got him to stay last year, but he will be in high demand after the JUCO ruling allows players to get those years back. I could see a Kansas going for what could be one of the best bigs on the market to replace Dickinson. |
| 2 | Tyler Bilodeau | UCLA | Arizona | When you have transferred once and are publicly called soft by an unappreciative coach, I think you can find another place where you are appreciated. Highly underrated player. Could land at several West Coast schools, feels like an Arizona guy for some reason. |
| 3 | AJ Storr | Kansas | Wisconsin | Rough year, but he’s proven he can be much better in a power conference in a high-usage role. Doesn’t do much else than score so he will need to pick the right school where he can get shots. Should try to go back to Wisconsin but they have likely moved on from him. |
| 4 | Ven-Allen Lubin | UNC | Memphis | Already bounced to his third P5 school. He’s highly productive but buried at UNC. I think a good spot would be back in Tennessee at Memphis. Very undervalued with his elite offensive rating and true shooting and even hustle defensive stats like steals and blocks, but needs some players with size around him. |
| 5 | Kanye Clary | MisSt | Memphis | He’s just completely buried at Miss State. I would expect him to transfer to a Memphis-type school or a lower-tier power 5 one like Penn State he left to get a bigger role back. |
| 6 | Dug McDaniel | KSt | Seton Hall | Doesn’t seem to be working out at Kansas State. I really don’t have a good feel on a destination, but I’m thinking Big East/east coast. |
| 7 | Jordan Pope | Texas | Houston | Pope started slow but has turned his season around. This is more about a potential coaching change. Good chance a new coach would keep him at Texas though. |
| 8 | Rylan Griffen | Kansas | Alabama | Like Storr, it’s not working out at Kansas, but he’s a proven high-level player. Wouldn’t shock me to see him boomerang back to Alabama. They need to rebuild what they lose a little more than Wisconsin probably needs Storrs. |
| 9 | Oscar Cluff | South Dakota St | Stanford/Crieghton | What Cluff is doing doesn’t shock me. He was 245th in our preseason rankings coming off a year where he was a 20-minute starter for a top 40 Washington State. I think he has improved a good bit and next year will get a starter 30-minute high-usage role. I have no clue why he would go to the Summit League as a starter solid P5 player, but I could see him hooking back up with Kyle Smith at Stanford replacing Maxime Raynaud and his high-usage role. He also seems like a good fit at Creighton replacing Ryan Kalkbrenner. He will have a lot of interest. |
| 10 | Sincere Parker | Mcneese | FSU | Parker is one of the most efficient guards you will ever find. At St. Louis, his numbers were incredible per possession and very underrated as well. He gets back the JUCO years, and with Wade likely heading to the P5, I could see Parker following him likely to a Miami, or FSU or Virginia. |
| 11 | Nijel Pack | Miami | Marquette | There is a reason he stopped playing at 9 games to try to maintain his eligibility. If he gets the year, he will be highly in demand and likely one of the best guards available. He’s from Wisconsin. |
| 12 | Donovan Dent | New Mexico | Miami | Dent has done about everything he can in the MWC. It feels like he’s ready for a higher-level P5 job. Don’t be surprised if he follows Richard Pitino to a better school. Maybe a Miami or FSU. |
| 13 | Obi Agbim | Wyoming | Gonzaga | Elite highly productive three-point ace, fits literally anywhere, and probably would like to be anywhere but Wyoming. Feels like a Gonzaga guy, following Graham Ike. Also from Colorado. |
| 14 | Isaiah Coleman | Seton Hall | UConn | This probably keeps happening to Seton Hall after losing Davis and Kadary Richmond last year. Got to expect Coleman or even Holloway might bolt next. Probably finds his way to a UConn or somewhere. |
| 15 | Reed Bailey | Davidson | Penn State | 6 foot 11 player who makes three. He will have a market likely at a low-end power 5 like DePaul or somewhere similar to Skogman last year. |
| 16 | Lajae Jones | St. Bonaventure | FSU | 6 foot 7, 50% three-point shooter on decent volume for a team that is surprising. Others higher up the food chain should take notice. From Florida. |
| 17 | Mason Falslev | Utah St. | Penn State | Falslev stayed last year even through a coaching change, but he did enter the portal. He’s also putting up much better numbers. I would expect Calhoun takes another job, and Falslev likely follows him. Penn State would be my guess. |
| 18 | Boopie Miller | SMU | Kansas | Miller has already been at 3 schools so he’s a looker. Even as good as he is, he’s seen his minutes drop, so he’s probably not happy with that. Maybe he boomerangs back to Wake Forest but he seems like a whoever will pay him the most type of guy. That’s probably somewhere more like Kansas. |
| 19 | Johnny Kinziger | Illinois St. | Wichita State | Very small but an elite 41 percent high-volume three-point shooter with some passing ability. I’d say lower-end P5’s like Northwestern or a Wichita State type mid-major with money. He might also be deemed too small, but I think that would be a mistake. |
| 20 | Bobby Durkin | Davidson | Illinois | Elite 44% high-volume 6-7 A10 player likely could play about anywhere. From Illinois or a Wake Forest or even a UNC might make sense as well. |
| 22 | Rasheer Fleming | Saint Joseph’s | St. John’s | 6-9, 220lb A10 player shooting 44% from three on 2 makes a game averaging 16 and 9. These are elite numbers at a solid level and for a decent team. He will have plenty of options. Feels like a BE type of guy. Maybe St. John’s. |
| 23 | Dedan Thomas Jr. | UNLV | UCLA | If you are a UNLV fan, he stayed last year even while averaging 13ppg, but I could see a coaching change and him having raised his profile even higher as a 40% three-point shooter, 16ppg Mountain West guy. He is from Las Vegas though, so we’ll see. Arizona or UCLA seem like the type of West Coast schools he might consider. |
| 24 | Achor Achor | KSt | Wichita State | There was never any room to get on the court at K-State. He can play at that level though. I could see him looking more at a Memphis or Wichita State-type mid-major, however, or lower-end P5 like an ACC school that will play him more than 19 minutes a game finally. That has to be frustrating. |
| 25 | Aidan Mahaney | UConn | Saint Mary’s | I don’t think Mahaney is that good, but I do think he will want to leave UConn and get a bigger role, and I think UConn can do more with that roster spot. Seems like it’s not worked out for either to the point a change happens. Could boomerang back to Saint Mary’s, but even there he wasn’t that good, so they might not even want him if he burned that bridge. |
| 26 | Baba Miller | FAU | South Carolina | Higher profile than talent would warrant, I would say, but he’s done enough at FAU that I could see a lot of schools lining up for the upside they believe they see. He is pretty unique that he blocks shots and makes some threes, but overall not as productive as you need to be at that size in the AAC or when he was at FSU. |
| 27 | Rytis Petraitis | Cal | Mountain West/WCC | Decided he didn’t want to be in the military but also seems a little over his head in the ACC as more of an undersized big. He seems like more of a Mountain West, West Coast Conference type of guy, likely headed back to that level. |
| 28 | Rueben Chinyelu | UF | Oklahoma | Florida has too many talented bigs. It’s not that he’s bad, he just needs to find a less loaded team in the post where he can find some minutes. He’s literally been at Washington State and Florida, so he could end up anywhere location-wise. This will likely be more about role and fit. |
| 29 | Aaron Bradshaw | OSU | Indiana | Bradshaw is kind of overrated, but he’s got that former 5-star pedigree people like so much that you’ll probably see more elite schools recruit him than the actual on-court stats would suggest he is worth. |
| 30 | Jalen Jackson | Purdue Fort Wayne | Louisville | The competition isn’t great, but with good size and a 28 PER and 60 percent true shooting for a guard, it’s hard to argue against him moving up. Feels like a Louisville-type guy for some reason. |
| 31 | Kenny Pohto | UC Santa Barbara | Arizona State | Gets his JUCO years back, and a highly productive big that likely will have P5 looks, probably on the West Coast. |
| 32 | Kaleb Banks | Tulane | Ole Miss | Boom, AAC is the recruiting hotbed for P5 losing more than any other conference. Tulane can’t keep a guy this productive. They have farmed him up for his next school. Plus he started at Indiana, so he has that sort of pedigree. This wasn’t unexpected for him to put up a 28 PER at this level and strong counting stats. |
| 33 | Eric Mulder | Purdue Fort Wayne | DePaul | They love targeting top-tier mid-majors. Another Fort Wayne guy—his counting stats aren’t great, but his efficiency is through the roof. Exactly the kind of under-the-radar player a “have-not” program should be hunting. 9.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, PER: 25.1 |
| 34 | Kenyon Giles | UNC Greensboro | VCU | Projected Transfer: VCU. Averaging 17 points per game while shooting 45% from three. Honestly, he might even find a landing spot above VCU. 16.9 points, 2.8 rebounds, 2.2 assists, PER: 24.1, 44.6% 3PT |
| 35 | Chase Walker | Illinois St. | Memphis | Projected Transfer: Memphis. This program needs a bruising post player to replace Danja. At 300 pounds, Walker is highly productive—15 points, 6 rebounds, and a 32 PER. His game should translate anywhere. 15.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.4 assists, PER: 32.1, 60.2% FG |
| 36 | Blake Harper | Howard | Richmond | Projected Transfer: Richmond. Moving up the ladder, but this is probably as far as he climbs from the MEAC. He’s productive, though—19 points a game and 39% from three. And remember, these stats aren’t inflated against weaker MEAC competition. 19.1 points, 6.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists, PER: 21.7, 47.2% FG, 39.3% 3PT, 83.9% FT |
| 37 | Blaise Threatt | Weber St. | Washington State | Washington State. A jump to the Pac-12—or whatever they’re calling it next year—fits his scoring and playmaking. He feels like a replacement for Coward. 16.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.8 assists, PER: 25.0 |
| 38 | Dylan Darling | Idaho St. | Boise State | Darling’s a big-time playmaker, averaging nearly six assists per game. 15.8 points, 2.4 rebounds, 5.7 assists, PER: 21.8, 40.7% FG, 34.6% 3PT, 78.4% FT |
| 39 | Nick Dorn | Elon | Davidson | His sharpshooting makes him a natural fit for their offensive system, especially with the talent they’ve lost to bigger programs. 16.3 points, 3.3 rebounds, 0.9 assists, PER: 17.9, 41.5% FG, 38.1% 3PT, 78.6% FT |
| 40 | Brian Moore, Jr. | Norfolk St. | VCU | This feels like the sweet spot for him—maybe not quite P5 level, but he’s got impressive numbers: 18 points, 45% from three, and solid size at 6’3″. Don’t forget, he averaged 9 points at Murray State, so he’s tested in the Midwest. 18.4 points, 4.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, PER: 26.4, 55.0% FG, 45.5% 3PT, 82.6% FT |
| 41 | Shelton Williams-Dryden | West Georgia | Belmont | As only a freshman, he’s got room to step up again if this move works out. 18.2 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.5 assists, PER: 27.8, 60.6% FG |
| 42 | Barrington Hargress | UC Riverside | San Francisco | The WCC programs like Santa Clara and Loyola Marymount have been killing it with transfers lately. Hargress isn’t super efficient, but he averages 19 a game. 19.4 points, 1.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists, PER: 20.2, 42.3% FG, 32.3% 3PT, 72.5% FT |
| 43 | Brandon Noel | Wright St. | Virginia Tech | At 6’8″, 235 pounds, he’s averaging 18 and 8, with a 25 PER and 35% from three. Undersized, sure, but his game is solid. Feels like a repeat of the last Wright State-to-VT big man move. 18.5 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists, PER: 25.1, 55.1% FG, 37.1% 3PT, 80.0% FT |
| 44 | Paul McMillan IV | Canisius | Cincy | Twenty points per game, 34% from three, and 83% from the line—those are the stats you can’t ignore. There’s potential for improvement here. 19.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.9 assists, PER: 18.3, 44.8% FG, 34.4% 3PT, 83.1% FT |
| 45 | Jemel Jones | Cal St. Bakersfield | Cal | At 6’4″, he’s got a 25 PER and shoots 40% from three, averaging 17 points per game. Stanford or Cal should be all over this guy, but I suspect he’ll be undervalued. 17.5 points, 3.0 rebounds, 1.6 assists, PER: 25.2, 49.6% FG, 39.6% 3PT, 83.1% FT |
| 46 | Joe Nugent | Holy Cross | Rutgers | Nugent’s probably out of his depth here, but he’s an elite shooter at 46% from three. Maybe Pikiell feels the heat on offensive inefficiency and takes a swing on him. 13.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, 0.7 assists, PER: 17.5, 48.4% FG, 45.9% 3PT, 92.0% FT |
| 47 | Moe Odum | Pepperdine | Gonzaga | His untapped potential aligns perfectly with Gonzaga’s development system. Seven assists, 40% from three for a WCC team? Sounds like he’s ready to be Ryan Nembhard 2.0—even down to the inefficiency on low-volume threes. 13.1 points, 2.8 rebounds, 7.4 assists, PER: 18.9, 47.0% FG, 38.9% 3PT, 85.1% FT |
| 48 | Bryce Lindsay | James Madison | USF | A 43% three-point shooter isn’t staying put. A10 or AAC feels about right for his next move. 12.0 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists, PER: 17.3, 45.5% FG, 43.0% 3PT, 86.4% FT |
| 49 | Abdi Bashir Jr. | Monmouth | Dayton | Twenty-one points and 44% from three might sound impressive, but his PER is only 19. Still, Princeton feels like a good fit. 21.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 1.9 assists, PER: 18.5, 41.9% FG, 43.2% 3PT, 93.1% FT |
| 50 | Jacari Lane | North Alabama | UAB | Staying in-state, Jacari Lane could provide a dynamic scoring boost to UAB’s backcourt. He’s a solid three-point shooter and would be a logical addition, especially since UAB has already taken a guard from this program before. 15.8 points, 2.5 rebounds, 4.3 assists, PER: 19.9, 42.7% FG, 37.1% 3PT, 77.2% FT |
| 51 | Michael Rataj | Oregon St. | Oregon | The in-state rivalry might get personal with Oregon projected to snag Michael Rataj from their little brother. The German forward is averaging 16 points and 8 rebounds, with a 25 PER and 35% shooting from three. Oregon’s deep pockets make this move seem inevitable. 16.6 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, PER: 24.5, 48.4% FG, 35.7% 3PT, 80.0% FT |
| 52 | Martin Somerville | UMass Lowell | Maryland/Providence | Providence looks like a natural next step for Martin Somerville. At 6’3″, he’s shooting a blistering 46% from three on over two makes per game. That kind of efficiency translates anywhere, and the Friars would love his sharpshooting. 13.9 points, 2.4 rebounds, 2.6 assists, PER: 20.5, 45.9% FG, 45.7% 3PT, 83.3% FT |
| 53 | Jaden Brownell | SAMF | Vanderbilt | Jaden Brownell seems like a quintessential Vanderbilt guy—a productive shooting big who fits their mold. While Liam Robbins’ shadow might limit his role, Vanderbilt stockpiles depth, and Brownell seems accustomed to making an impact in limited minutes. 14.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, 1.1 assists, PER: 30.5, 58.7% FG, 42.2% 3PT, 70.0% FT |
| 54 | Josh Harris | UNF | FAU | Staying in-state, Josh Harris could bolster Florida Atlantic’s forward depth. At 6’8″, he’s averaging 14 points and 7 rebounds, though his skinny frame might be a concern. The AAC seems like the logical next step for his skill set. 14.5 points, 6.7 rebounds, 0.7 assists, PER: 28.7, 60.1% FG, 46.7% 3PT, 74.3% FT |
| 55 | Mister Dean | USCU | UNCW | UNC Wilmington seems like the perfect fit for Mister Dean. A tough-nosed player reminiscent of Trazarien White, Dean’s physicality would be a great addition to a competitive CAA team. Transfers like him are often on their radar. 15.9 points, 5.3 rebounds, 1.1 assists, PER: 28.0, 59.1% FG |
| 56 | Gytis Nemeiksa | HAW | Santa Clara | The Lithuanian forward Gytis Nemeiksa could land at Cal, where stretch forwards with shooting ability are highly valued. At 6’7″, averaging 14 points, 7 rebounds, and shooting 36% from three, he’ll attract both low-end P5 and high-end mid-major programs. Then again, maybe he loves the sun—but as a blonde from Lithuania, Hawaii might’ve been a bit too sunny for him. 14.6 points, 7.2 rebounds, 1.3 assists, PER: 27.8, 51.4% FG, 36.2% 3PT, 74.4% FT |
| 57 | Noah Amenhauser | CCU | Arizona | Arizona could be a great fit for Noah Amenhauser, a legit 7-footer who started at Grand Canyon. With averages of 11 points, 7 rebounds, and a 28 PER, he seems like the type of under-the-radar player Tommy Lloyd could turn into a gem. 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, 0.5 assists, PER: 27.8, 61.6% FG |
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