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2025 CBB Mock Coaching Carousel: Our Predictions

Last year, there were 68 Division I coaching changes, but we’re predicting a slightly less active carousel this time around with 58. This is all just for fun, as most of these job changes are very unpredictable. Probably getting 3 or 4 correct would be a win. However, we’ve analyzed the landscape to identify which coaches might be on the move and the open jobs and the best landing spots for those we think are great fits. Here’s our January 1st take.

1TexasBilly DonovanOpportunity to return to college basketball at a prominent program with the most resources. He seemed open to Kentucky last year, and the Bulls are going nowhere. NIL makes recruiting less of a headache. Florida (HC), NBA (HC).
2IndianaDusty MayReturning to his alma mater to lead a historic program with passionate fan support. Buyout is a lot, but I think he and Indiana would work to make it happen.Florida Atlantic (HC), Louisiana Tech (AC).
3MichiganSean MillerChance to lead a Big Ten powerhouse with a rich basketball tradition.Arizona (HC), Xavier (HC).
4VillanovaShaheen HollowayHard to leave his a school he’s an alum of but the NIL seems bad.Saint Peter’s (HC), Seton Hall (HC).
5XavierChris MackReturning to a familiar program where he previously achieved significant success.Louisville (HC), Xavier (HC).
6VirginiaMike RhoadesThe last Penn St coach left for an ACC program as well. Back in VA.VCU (HC), Rice (HC).
7Florida StateWill WadeOpportunity to lead a prominent ACC program in a talent-rich state in the south. They don’t care about violations.LSU (HC), VCU (HC).
8MiamiRichard PitinoHe’s rebuilt his career and is ready for another P5 job. A Pitino in Miami seems right.Minnesota (HC), New Mexico (HC).
9IowaBen McCollumSeems picky and to want to live in Iowa, so Iowa might just help McCaffery retire to move quick.Northwest Missouri State (HC). Drake HC
10Wake ForestBob RicheyOpportunity to lead an ACC program in the region. He’s been patient waiting for this type of job.Furman (HC).
11Virginia TechRyan OdomVT can pay more and he seems to be in the ladder climbing mode.UMBC (HC), Utah State (HC).
12Arizona StateBryce DrewLeading a Pac-12 program provides a platform to rebuild his coaching career and they have solid NIL.Vanderbilt (HC), Grand Canyon (HC).
13MinnesotaNiko MedvedReturning to his home state to lead a Big Ten program with potential.Colorado State (HC), Drake (HC).
14Penn StateJerrod CalhounOpportunity to coach in the Big Ten near where he grew up and coached most of his career.Youngstown State (HC), Fairmont State (HC).
15Seton HallLuke MurrayAssistants don’t usually get P5 jobs, but he’s got the star power to do it and was part of a dynastic program. He’s waiting for a job like this.Louisville (AC), UConn (AC).
16UNLVChris GerlufsenOpportunity to lead a storied program with more support.San Francisco (HC), Hartford (AC).
17VCUTakayo SiddleSeems like more of a VCU type of coach.UNC Wilmington (HC), NC State (AC).
18Grand CanyonNevada SmithGrand Canyon has money and resources. You may not have hear of Smith but he’s a former GLeague head coach and current Marquette assistant.Keystone College (HC), Sioux Falls Skyforce (HC). Marquette (AC)
19Boston CollegeMitch HendersonMoving to the ACC offers a chance to coach at the highest collegiate level and get a payday if he does leave is Alma mater . Princeton (HC).
20South FloridaRitchie McKayUSF has big money, and McKay might want one more big payday.Liberty (HC), New Mexico (HC).
21TulsaEric HendersonStepping into a head coaching role in the AAC after success in the Summit League.South Dakota State (HC), North Dakota State (AC).
22Utah StateBucky McMillanI’ve been told he won’t leave Alabama, but this is a hot job for moving coaches up the ladder. Samford (HC), Mountain Brook High School (HC).
23New MexicoLuke BarnwellStepping into college coaching at a program with a passionate fan base close by.Sunrise Christian Academy (HC). Texas Tech (AC)
24Colorado StateMike DeGeorgeOpportunity to lead a Mountain West program after success at the Division 2 level in Colorado and in D1 at Cal Poly.Colorado College (HC), Rhodes College (HC).
25RichmondRussell TurnerReturning to his East Coast roots to lead a competitive Atlantic 10 program.UC Irvine (HC), Golden State Warriors (AC).
26College of CharlestonGregg MarshallReturning to coaching at a job he took briefly once. They pay top 100 type money as well.Wichita State (HC), Winthrop (HC).
27San FranciscoMatt LogieOpportunity to coach in a competitive mid-major conference with strong West Coast ties.Point Loma Nazarene (HC), Whitworth (HC).
28DrakeMarty RichterRichter was a big part of Drake’s success under DeVries. Drake couldn’t pass on McCullum, but now it might be Richters time.Drake (AC), Florida Gulf Coast (AC).
29East CarolinaSteve ForbesTransition to an AAC program with a lot of money to spend. If he is fired, he won’t fall far.Wake Forest (HC), ETSU (HC).
30TulaneKevin OllieOpportunity to re-establish himself in college coaching after success at UConn.UConn (HC).
31LibertyDustin KernsMoving to a program with a history of winning and solid resources for success.Appalachian State (HC), Presbyterian (HC).
32La SalleKyle NeptuneReturning to a familiar Big 5 program if he is forced out.Villanova (HC), Fordham (HC).
33UNCWBart LundyOpportunity to coach in a program with a strong tradition in the CAA. Coached most of his career in NC.Queens University (HC), Milwaukee (HC).
34LouisianaJoe PasternackOpportunity to coach in a competitive Sun Belt program with strong regional recruiting ties. Former coach in New OrleansUCSB (HC), Arizona (AC). New Orleans (HC)
35BuffaloKimani YoungChance to transition to a head coaching role at a competitive mid-major program in the MAC. They paid Oates very well.UConn (AC), Minnesota (AC).
36South Dakota StateDean OliverOpportunity to coach a consistent mid-major program with frequent NCAA Tournament appearances.Wisconsin (AC), North Dakota (AC).
37PrincetonJohn Thompson IIIReturning to his alma mater and former job.Georgetown (HC), Princeton (HC).
38Air ForceMike RohnChance to lead a disciplined program with a unique recruiting approach in the Mountain West in the area.Kansas (AC), Colorado (AC).
39App StateJustin GaineyTransitioning to a head coaching role in a competitive Sun Belt program.Marquette (AC), NC State (AC). Tennesse (AC)
40SamfordRod ClarkOpportunity to lead a Southern Conference program with potential to grow within the league.Tennessee (AC), Austin Peay (AC).
41UC IrvineJayDee LusterChance to lead a successful mid-major program with a history of NCAA Tournament appearances.San Diego State (AC), Arizona (AC).
42FurmanRyan MillerOpportunity to coach in a program that has grown significantly in recent years.Creighton (AC), San Diego (AC).
43MilwaukeeSharif ChamblissChance to lead a Horizon League program and build his coaching reputation, where he’s coached before.Wisconsin (AC), Milwaukee (AC).
44UCSBRod PalmerOpportunity to lead a Big West program with recent success in the NCAA Tournament.UCLA (AC), Long Beach State (AC).
45FIUJim CrutchfieldHe’s 68, but it would be great to see him in D1. He’s only 35 minutes from the FIU campus.Nova Southeastern (HC), West Liberty (HC).
46McNeese StateTerry JohnsonYou can win at McNeese, Wade proved that.Purdue (AC), Ohio State (AC).
47NortheasternJohn BeckerBecker seems to have stalled, and maybe it’s time to try something new. Moving from the America East to the CAA offers a slightly higher level of competition close by. This season has knocked some shine off.Vermont (HC), Northeastern (AC).
48NavyTony BennettThis one is just for fun. This would be a chance to coach in a disciplined environment with out NIL or recruiting issues. Navy would embrace his style.Virginia (HC), Washington State (HC).
49CampbellJ.D. ByersOpportunity to lead a program in the area.Virginia Tech (AC), Radford (AC).
50BellarmineChris BridgesA Kentucky guy with 2 NAIA national titles.NAIA (HC), Kentucky (GA).
51ULMStan JonesOpportunity to take over a Sun Belt program looking for stability and growth.Florida State (AC), UCF (AC).
52North FloridaSteve DeMeoChance to lead an ASUN program in the area where he has had a lot of JUCO success.St. John’s (AC), JUCO in FL (HC).
53Cal PolyChris CapkoOpportunity to rebuild and compete in the Big West with a strong foundation in California recruiting.USC (AC), Florida Atlantic (AC).
54Robert MorrisBen HowlettTransitioning to Division I coaching after strong success at the Division II level in nearby WVU.West Liberty (HC), RMU (AC).
55Northern ArizonaJermaine KimbroughLeading a Big Sky program with potential for growth in a competitive mid-major conference.Arizona State (AC), Loyola Chicago (AC).
56USC UpstateMark VandersliceTransitioning from a Division II program to lead a Big South team looking for consistency.D2 in SC (HC), Furman (AC).
57AlbanyJared GrassoOpportunity to return to the America East with a proven track record in building programs.Bryant (HC), Iona (AC).
58Sacred HeartMike NardiTransitioning to head coaching after strong assistant experience in a rising NEC program.Villanova (AC)

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