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Masters Week: OWGR If LIV Was Included

As we approach Masters week, accessing the world rankings poses some challenges due to certain top players not earning points on the LIV tour. Previously, last year, we could simply remove the divisor to provide a reasonable estimation, given that these players still participated in approximately 25 tournaments. However, after three years of LIV, with points only accruing from majors, the DP World Tour, or other smaller tours, the rankings are suffering greatly and fail to represent the standing of LIV golfers accurately.

Nevertheless, LIV remains a prestigious tour boasting world-class talent. It is imperative longterm that a method be devised to rank these golfers, even if it entails a three-round, no-cut event. Such an approach should still be considered. LIV consistently produces winners who compete against other top golfers in the majors and they award their own champs. In essence, it is not markedly different from the Hero World Challenge, which awards approximately 30 points to its winner, and certainly superior to tournaments like the Puerto Rico Open, which only grants 20 official world golf points to its victor.

Under the previous ranking system, every PGA tournament guaranteed a minimum of 24 points to its winner, regardless of the field’s strength. The European Tour offered 20 points, and so forth.

Estimating The Value of a LIV Event

In LIV, there exists a mix of older golfers primarily invested in for their brand and name recognition, alongside some legitimate top 50 major contenders. To evaluate their performance, we’ve assigned 25 points to the winner per event, with points scaling down for subsequent finishes, mirroring the approach seen in events like the Hero tournament. This method feels equitable, aligning with the competitive landscape.

Over the past two seasons, we’ve focused on assessing the points earned by top performers on the LIV Tour who stand a chance of breaking into the top 75 rankings. We’ve omitted the 2022 data as its weight diminishes over time, and the tour’s inaugural year exhibited a weaker field.

20232024Total
OWGR
Points-
Events
Taylor Gooch9819.5117.518
CAMERON SMITH8318.5101.517
BROOKS KOEPKA81109118
DUSTIN JOHNSON48307818
Bryson DeChambeau60167618
JOAQUIN NIEMANN15607518
PATRICK REED4855318
JON RAHM29295

Taylor Gooch has emerged as the standout performer in LIV in 2023 winning 3 events and demonstrating consistent excellence. Regrettably, Gooch’s inability to participate in the majors this season due to lack of exemptions is a missed opportunity, as his performance suggests he is deserving of a spot among the top 50 golfers.

Below are the total events with LIV Golf Points included.

OWGR
Points
Total
Events
JON RAHM29142
BROOKS KOEPKA19229
CAMERON SMITH17137
Taylor Gooch12732
JOAQUIN NIEMANN12440
Bryson DeChambeau9928
PATRICK REED9640
DUSTIN JOHNSON9428

While technically, we should reduce the LIV 2023 points by about 15%, in 2023 given that these are all estimates and the golfers are already facing a significant reduction with the divisor on the events played, we’ll consider this lack of adjustment as a slight bonus since we’ve taken a conservative approach as well. In a scenario where these golfers were being officially ranked and there was a greater incentive to maintain rankings, I believe they would be inclined to participate in more tournaments worldwide to reach the 40 events Divisor played threshold or close to it. However, attempting to calculate the exact points lost isn’t a major factor, especially considering it’s all an estimate.

With Divisor
Without
Divisor
JON RAHM6.96.9
BROOKS KOEPKA4.86.8
CAMERON SMITH4.274.6
Taylor Gooch3.173.9
JOAQUIN NIEMANN3.13.1
Bryson DeChambeau2.473.5
PATRICK REED2.42.4
DUSTIN JOHNSON2.353.3

The number of events played divisor greatly impacts golfers like Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gooch, and DeChambeau as early movers to the LIV tour. For example Koepeka would be the 3rd best golfer in the world with that adjustment. He won a major last year and two events on the LIV tour as well as a 2nd place finish in the Masters. Removing the divisor would also greatly help Ludvig Aberg and Will Zalatoris who are also playing better than their rankings. Without the divisor for those golfers is likely more representative of how they have played but for our purposes we will still rank them by the book. (Tyrrell Hatton just joined the tour and his points with our without LIV are nearly identical 3.30 vs 3.25 and his ranking doesn’t change at all.)

OWGR
Points
Events
1Scottie Scheffler11.856145
2JON RAHM6.942LIV
3Wyndham Clark6.197852
4Xander Schauffele6.076442
5Viktor Hovland5.718645
6BROOKS KOEPKA4.829LIV
7Patrick Cantlay4.589839
8Brian Harman4.290553
9CAMERON SMITH4.27537LIV
10Ludvig Aberg4.139825
11Matt Fitzpatrick3.901854
12Max Homa3.858547
13Hideki Matsuyama3.639546
14Tommy Fleetwood3.606151
15Cameron Young3.48348
16Sahith Theegala3.384254
17Keegan Bradley3.363943
18Russell Henley3.319343
19Jordan Spieth3.304845
20Tyrrell Hatton3.2545LIV
21Collin Morikawa3.238544
22Taylor Gooch3.17532LIV
23Jason Day3.114142
24JOAQUIN NIEMANN3.140LIV
25Sam Burns3.094247
26Tom Kim3.033454
27Nick Taylor2.925751
28Matthieu Pavon2.904658
29Tony Finau2.88449
30Chris Kirk2.835548
31Justin Thomas2.725843
32Sepp Straka2.7257
33Denny McCarthy2.658750
34Will Zalatoris2.5327
35Min Woo Lee2.514450
36Bryson DeChambeau2.47528LIV
37Akshay Bhatia2.40755
38Lucas Glover2.40354
39Shane Lowry2.400546
40PATRICK REED2.440LIV
41Rickie Fowler2.392247
42Nicolai Hojgaard2.361855
43DUSTIN JOHNSON2.3528LIV
44Emiliano Grillo2.340154
45Eric Cole2.323765
46Sungjae Im2.303355
47Stephan Jaeger2.264956
48Kurt Kitayama2.260747
49Byeong Hun An2.260353
50Harris English2.243345

In this estimation, LIV would have 9 golfers in the top 45, with three in the top 10. These estimations are likely conservative but would be fair, providing the top golfers with a path to world rankings. With those benefits those who do not have exemptions into the majors could still earn their way in until there is a merger.

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