Adjusted Effiency(ADJeff) is efficiency adjusted for strength of schedule. I’ve also include each players minutes, player efficiency ratings and true shooting. We listed all the players from each team that have played 500+ minutes on the season.
ADJeff
Min
PER
BPM
TS%
1
Adama Sanogo
UConn
5.9
980
29.5
10.5
0.643
2
Norchad Omier
UM
4.9
1032
26.4
6.1
0.62
3
Jaedon Ledee
SDSU
4.6
671
22.7
7
0.556
4
Jordan Miller
UM
4.3
1256
23.1
7.7
0.619
5
Nathan Mensah
SDSU
4.2
766
20.4
6.8
0.568
6
Jordan Hawkins
UConn
4.0
1032
20
8
0.58
7
Isaiah Wong
UM
3.9
1202
21.4
6.1
0.578
8
Matt Bradley
SDSU
3.6
973
17.7
6.1
0.505
9
Keshad Johnson
SDSU
3.6
821
17.6
5.6
0.571
10
Vladislav Goldin
FAU
3.6
795
25.8
5.3
0.629
11
Tristen Newton
UConn
3.4
1057
16.8
6.7
0.539
12
Johnell Davis
FAU
3.4
932
24.6
8.4
0.606
13
Aguek Arop
SDSU
3.4
560
16.5
7.2
0.602
14
Joey Calcaterra
UConn
3.3
519
16.5
6.8
0.586
15
Alex Karaban
UConn
3.2
1065
15.8
7.3
0.626
16
Nijel Pack
UM
3.1
1075
16.7
4.6
0.577
17
Andre Jackson
UConn
3.1
991
15.2
7.9
0.507
18
Wooga Poplar
UM
3.1
854
16.6
4.3
0.592
19
Lamont Butler
SDSU
2.9
951
14.2
4
0.508
20
Alijah Martin
FAU
2.9
918
20.9
7
0.567
21
Darrion Trammell
SDSU
2.8
977
14.1
4.7
0.48
22
Micah Parrish
SDSU
2.8
800
13.8
4.5
0.529
23
Giancarlo Rosado
FAU
2.8
638
19.8
5
0.653
24
Nick Boyd
FAU
2.5
872
17.9
5.7
0.575
25
Adam Seiko
SDSU
2.5
712
12.1
4
0.662
26
Bensley Joseph
UM
2.2
717
11.8
2.4
0.556
27
Michael Forrest
FAU
2.0
757
14.7
3
0.533
28
Brandon Weatherspoon
FAU
2.0
606
14.1
4.8
0.526
29
Bryan Greenlee
FAU
1.6
935
11.2
1.8
0.548
30
Nahiem Alleyne
UConn
1.6
660
8.1
1.1
0.488
31
Jalen Gaffney
FAU
1.2
838
8.1
0
0.453
Here are each teams top minutes players and their rank in ADJeff among the other final 4 teams. In games of high important like this coaches usually cut the benches way down and play the players they trust larger portions of minutes. I think you should expect a little tighter rotation for each team. Foul trouble and injuries can also impact the rotations of course.
UConn
ADJeff
Min
PER
1
Adama Sanogo
UConn
5.9
980
29.5
6
Jordan Hawkins
UConn
4.0
1032
20
11
Tristen Newton
UConn
3.4
1057
16.8
14
Joey Calcaterra
UConn
3.3
519
16.5
15
Alex Karaban
UConn
3.2
1065
15.8
17
Andre Jackson
UConn
3.1
991
15.2
30
Nahiem Alleyne
UConn
1.6
660
8.1
UConn isn’t overly deep but they don’t need to be. They have some of everything and even if the best player in the Final Four Sanogo was to get into foul trouble or and injury they have Donovan Clingan. Donovan Clingan is a statistical beast but didn’t meet our minutes requirement. If he got minutes and a call up for some reason, I have no doubt he’d be one of the best players in the final four with his per minute production. UConn is stacked.
Min
PER
BPM
TS%
Donovan Clingan
UConn
488
33.2
11.2
0.634
Miami
ADJeff
Min
PER
2
Norchad Omier
UM
4.9
1032
26.4
4
Jordan Miller
UM
4.3
1256
23.1
7
Isaiah Wong
UM
3.9
1202
21.4
16
Nijel Pack
UM
3.1
1075
16.7
18
Wooga Poplar
UM
3.1
854
16.6
26
Bensley Joseph
UM
2.2
717
11.8
Miami has 3 of the top 7 players by ADJeff. Nijel Pack can get as blazing hot as anyone left in the tournament as well. He had such a slow start the first 12 games. The last 22 he has likely been more like a top 10 player and is coming in playing more at that level. We detailed it here. Pack is 64-147 for .435% from three and averaged 15.2 points in the last 22 games. Miami plays small and has a dynamic offense. Unfortunately teams with players like Sanogo or players that drive may punish them at the rim.
San Diego State’s value is probably not fully captured in the efficiency. There are some defensive components but it’s a weaker part of the statistic I think everyone understands. San Diego State is the best defensive team in the tournament left by KenPom’s adjusted defensive numbers. Other than Miami these are all pretty good defensive teams.
Defense Rank
KenPom
San Diego State
4
UConn
11
Florida Atlantic
30
Miami
104
Unfortunately the offense is also the worst.
Offense Rank
KenPom
UConn
3
Miami
5
Florida Atlantic
24
San Diego State
74
Florida Atlantic
ADJeff
Min
PER
10
Vladislav Goldin
FAU
3.6
795
25.8
12
Johnell Davis
FAU
3.4
932
24.6
20
Alijah Martin
FAU
2.9
918
20.9
23
Giancarlo Rosado
FAU
2.8
638
19.8
24
Nick Boyd
FAU
2.5
872
17.9
27
Michael Forrest
FAU
2.0
757
14.7
28
Brandon Weatherspoon
FAU
2.0
606
14.1
29
Bryan Greenlee
FAU
1.6
935
11.2
31
Jalen Gaffney
FAU
1.2
838
8.1
FAU is a legit team who is pretty good on both sides of the ball. There is lots of balance and a deep rotation. This is the time of the year I think the deep rotation is less important though. I think you would much rather have the top 5 or 6 players, specifically the top 3. This is where FAU probably is the weakest, but they have been proving us and everyone else wrong all year.
