Since the Lakers were eliminated by the Nuggets, there has been a lot of national discussion about the trade that dismantled the Lakers’ “championship” team. It’s understandable, especially with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope now starting for the current defending champions. He was also a starter and third leading scorer in the playoffs on the Lakers’ championship team. However, this narrative is somewhat misleading and doesn’t fully represent the history.
2019-20
The Lakers clinched the championship this season in the bubble. I mention this not to diminish anything about that title because the conditions were identical for both teams. However, it’s undeniably unique, and perhaps some teams were naturally better equipped to excel in that environment.
During those finals, KCP was solid, averaging 12.8 points per game and displaying his usual robust defense. Throughout the playoffs, he averaged 10.8 points per game and shot 38% from three-point range. On the other hand, Alex Caruso, whom they could have retained but would eventually let walk, only averaged 6.5 points per game and 2.8 assists per game, shooting rather poorly. Kyle Kuzma averaged 10.0 points per game and 3.1 rebounds per game but wasn’t particularly efficient. All three players had PERs between 9.8 and 10.8. Their statistical performances weren’t particularly impressive. The same could be said for Danny Green, who averaged 8.0 points per game with a .473 true shooting percentage and a PER of 9.8. Surprisingly, it was Rajon Rondo, with 8.9 points per game, 6.6 assists per game, 4.3 rebounds per game, and a PER of 16.8, who was arguably maybe the team’s third most important player in those playoffs. Rondo, a player with similar strengths and weaknesses to Russell Westbrook in many regards, played a crucial role.
Of course, the primary reason for the team’s championship victory was not the role players, but LeBron James and Anthony Davis, who were outstanding in the bubble playoffs with nearly unprecedented PERs of 30.2 and 29.6, respectively. They were also much younger at 35 and 26 at the time. To put this in perspective, Nikola Jokić, who had a historic playoff run last year, broke numerous PER records in his career but only achieved a slightly better 31.2 PER. The Lakers boasted two players of an all-time caliber that season.
2020-21
Many people seem to have a foggy memory and believe that the Lakers traded for Russ after that season, but that’s not the case. Most of the team did return, with the only significant changes being Danny Green being traded for Dennis Schröder, who was a quality addition, and Rondo leaving for more money. Marc Gasol took Dwight Howard’s spot, and players like KCP, Caruso, and Kuzma remained. They even added Andre Drummond during the season. Arguably an upgrade to Howard as well.
However, the Lakers would lose in the first round to Phoenix in six games. Anthony Davis missed one game in that series. It was just an extremely poor showing for them. LeBron and AD’s numbers had significantly dropped compared to the previous season, where both had PERs of 30. This season, their PERs were 20.1 and 20.9, respectively. KCP had a PER of 5.9, Caruso 3.0, and Kuzma 3.3. Their true shooting percentages were .497, .450, and .366, respectively. All three had a dismal performance in that series, with KCP being the best and still only shooting 21% from three.
| Tota | Per | Per | Per | Per | Per | Per | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Player | Age | G | MP | PTS | TRB | AST | STL | BLK |
| 1 | LeBron James | 36 | 6 | 37.3 | 23.3 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 2 | Anthony Davis | 27 | 5 | 28.8 | 17.4 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 5 | Kyle Kuzma | 25 | 6 | 21.6 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Alex Caruso | 26 | 6 | 20.1 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| 8 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 27 | 5 | 29.1 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Team Totals | 28.4 | 6 | 240.0 | 97.5 | 43.2 | 19.3 | 6.7 | 4.0 |
| Rk | Player | Age | G | MP | PER | TS% | WS | WS/48 | BPM | VORP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LeBron James | 36 | 6 | 224 | 20.1 | .564 | 0.4 | .092 | 9.2 | 0.6 | |
| 3 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 27 | 5 | 146 | 5.9 | .497 | 0.2 | .057 | -3.6 | -0.1 | |
| 4 | Anthony Davis | 27 | 5 | 144 | 20.9 | .541 | 0.5 | .159 | 6.0 | 0.3 | |
| 5 | Kyle Kuzma | 25 | 6 | 129 | 3.3 | .366 | -0.2 | -0.086 | -5.9 | -0.1 | |
| 6 | Alex Caruso | 26 | 6 | 121 | 3.0 | .450 | -0.1 | -0.055 | -5.7 | -0.1 |
That Offseason
Coming off a season where the Lakers suffered a first-round exit, it’s understandable that changes were needed rather than running it back, especially considering how poorly KCP, Caruso, and Kuzma had performed. Many people tend to forget the context of their poor play. While Russell Westbrook wasn’t the ideal player to acquire—a ball-dominant player with subpar shooting and defensive skills—considering the season he was coming off and what they gave up, it was defensible at the time. However, today, everyone remembers how poorly it went and how Jokic helps make KCP look good, or Kuzma puts up impressive counting numbers, albeit empty ones.
Ideally I would have wanted to add more shooting as well rather than Westbrook. At the time, Westbrook was coming off a season where he averaged 22.2 points, 11.5 rebounds, and led the NBA in assists with 11.7, boasting a PER of 19.5. Despite dealing with a quadriceps injury early in the year, he averaged 23.0 points, 14.0 assists, and 13.5 rebounds over the final six weeks of the regular season, helping lead the Wizards to the playoffs. The Lakers traded Kuzma, KCP, and Montrezl Harrell. Kuzma would have needed a new contract soon. While the financial aspect of acquiring Westbrook was substantial, at the time, but many of the trade grades were in the C range.
2021-22
Both LeBron and AD missed substantial time this season playing 56 and 40 games respectively. This team was always going to be doomed to fail. Having Kuzma and KCP would have changed nothing this season.
2022-23
Westbrook returned this season more willing to adapt, accepting a bench role. The Lakers leveraged his massive expiring contract and a first-rounder that was protected to revamp their team, acquiring D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, and Jarred Vanderbilt. Russell and Vanderbilt both became starters, although Vanderbilt’s role was mostly symbolic, averaging 16 minutes per game. Nonetheless, they acquired two starters from the deal who helped propel them to the conference finals.
In hindsight, would it have been better for the Lakers to pay Kuzma $25 million, as he eventually demanded, and KCP $15 million? Would they have been in a better spot? Ultimately, they opted for younger players on favorable deals with team control.
Conclusion
Despite the outcome, I don’t believe the Lakers were poised to win additional championships even if they retained KCP, Caruso, and utilized their salary cap space and picks differently instead of acquiring Westbrook. Paying Talen Horton-Tucker what he got, and playing him 25 minutes a game instead of finding more shooting out of that spot was always the compounding problem to me.
In my opinion, the decision to pursue Westbrook was a defensible gamble at the time, notwithstanding the spacing concerns. Acquiring a former MVP at 32, who led the league in assists and applied significant pressure on opposing teams in transition, for a couple of role players and minor draft assets wasn’t the worst deal ever, especially if Westbrook adjusted his attitude early on, became more willing to defend, set screens, and accept a lesser role, which he has shown improvement in over the last couple of years.
Considering the lack of other attainable star players in the league through consolidation of role players who underperformed in the previous playoffs and a late first-round pick, the trade for Westbrook wasn’t necessarily detrimental to the team’s overall standing. D’Angelo Russell has become the new Russell that is the whipping boy target of criticism. Given LeBron and Davis’s propensity for missing games, adding another high-usage player was necessary. Despite Russell’s playoff shortcomings, he offers shooting and facilitating abilities at a reasonable salary, which is often difficult to find in the market.
KCP has found a good fit in Denver, benefiting from playing alongside Jokic, who is currently at the peak of his abilities. Jokic’s exceptional play elevates those around him, enabling them to get great shots, which is something LeBron, at his current stage, would not be able to replicate. Even if KCP and Kuzma had remained with the Lakers, it’s plausible to argue that not much would have changed. In fact, one could make the case that the Lakers might have fared even worse.
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