2024 NBA Mock Draft
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2024 Mock Draft
|XAVIER BOOKER||6-11||215||Michigan St|
I knew Booker had been skyrocketing this summer, but what immediately stood out was just how well a player this young at his size could handle the basketball.
I was more familiar with some of the other top prospects and having watched their video’s first and what became apparent immediately was Booker was the guy with the star potential. There is little question in my mind now he has star potential with is 7-5 wingspan and skills. He even stepped back and hit a few threes.
The stats I was able to find indicate he didn’t play much as a junior which would explain being off the radar some coming into the AAU games this summer, but he was highly productive averaging 12.5ppg, 6.7rpg, 2.3bpg in only 18.9 minutes. I have no clue why he wasn’t playing nor do I care if he was that awesome when he did play. What is so hopeful is he made 36-101 three’s at 36% and shot 74% from the foul line both on good volume considering the low minutes he was playing.
He was also 61% on 2 point FG’s and even had a low foul rate. The only thing that stood out a little in the stats as a negative was 2.0 turnovers vs 1.4 assist. Two turnovers for a big in only 19 minutes a game is high, but I actually take at that as he was trying to generate some offense which probably isn’t the worst thing at his age and size either. Even as a low minute guy he was trying to do a lot when he was on the court.
He projects as a player that can impact the floor on both ends. The way he is on fire rising now I think is another indication you will want to get on the train and hope the improvement doesn’t slow down any time soon. You like to see this kind of trajectory and leaps. He was probably always one of he best guys, It just seems he was being hidden away on his HS team playing 19 minutes a game. There is still a lot of room to grow his game and physically. Even the fact he is a lefty should be a small advantage that helps him.
I’ve heard the Anthony Davis comparisons and that’s probably a good comp for how his game projects, but the build is actually more Kevin Durant like to my eye. That’s who he physically reminded me of more with some of the ball handling and more narrow shoulders than Davis, granted he’s already a lot bigger and stronger than Durant was at that age. The shooting is already pretty solid for his age and size. If the shooting levels up watch out.
Justin Edwards 17.0ppg, 6.2rpg, 1.2apg, 1.6spg in 13 games in the EYBL which is a high level of AAU. He also shot 38% on good volume from three (20-53) and 52% overall from the floor. The only underwhelming stat was 62% from the line and he didn’t really get there much just over 2 times a game so hopefully that’s a little bit of a small sample. Still not drawing fouls is a bit of a concern. Watching his video, I thought he had a good first step, was a plus athlete, had good explosion and handled the ball very well for his size. He was a little thin but he has plenty of time to grow into his body and overall his skill level seemed much higher than the other prospects I watched that were an inch or two taller, and those an inch or two smaller too. Overall a much more well rounded player. He was the clear #2 in this class for me.
Isaiah Collier 22ppg, 7.2apg, 2.6rpg his Jr year. He has good size and facilitates pretty well for the level. The only shooting stats we have were from his freshman year, and he hit 40% of these threes and 77% from the line on solid per game volume. You have to think the shooting is pretty solid. Watching the video’s the passing vision really seemed there. He also appeared more athletic and to be a better ball handler than Caleb Foster. He also showed versatility in his shot with some stepback 3’s. I liked his game and potential a lot. He has enough size as a PG that I think it’s justifiable to spend a high pick on him and I liked the athletic ability and vision are that of a top prospect.
|4. San Antonio|
Sean Stewart 14.6ppg, 10.5rpg, 1.7bpg in 13 games the EYBL shooting 55% from the floor. Stewart was very productive as you can see he’s just not much of a shooter only taking 5 three’s in 13 games and shooting 55% from the free throw line. Still shooting is one thing you can improve, especially at this age. As far as the similar PF/SF tweeners in this class give me the guy actually doing stuff. I think he had as good or a better handle as well. I’d like to know what the wingspan is, he didn’t look as long as some other players but who cares when he actually blocks shots and rebounds at a level they can’t. The athleticism was about as good as well., Not as explosive as Cook probably but pretty bouncy and bigger than his weight listed. He averaged 7ppg, 7rpg, 1.3bpg, 1.1spg in 18 minutes a game as one of the top performers on team USA this summer too.
Marquis Cook appeared to be a quick leaper and to have the most explosion I’ve seen of the top prospects. Unfortunately we don’t have many stats but I’d probably draft him high on his size and athleticism alone given some of the negatives or measurable of those around him. His statline at powerhouse AZ Compass was only for 5 games. 11.8ppg, 5.2rpg, 1.8apg on 3-5 three in those 5 games and 8-11 from the FT line. At least in that small sample size it’s looks good. He made a few three’s in highlights and the release looked good. The question I was left with beyond how real the shooting was, was that he barely handled the basketball in any of the video’s I watched. There wasn’t much driving past players either. He does move well without the ball though and finds a way get to spots around the basket or for open shots and dunks. I would have still liked to have seen more ballhandling ability. I’d grade that as a incomplete at this point but he doesn’t seem like a guy that will be taking players off the dribble a lot on the wings. Maybe if he can play as a big in some smaller ball lineups and get by those guys though.
Ronald Holland is a similar prospect to Marquis Cook. They share a lot of the same strengths and weaknesses. I thought Holland looked more smooth and handled the ball a little more, Cook looked more athletic and explosive to me. Holland did have some nice drives to the basket. The thing we do have more of with Holland is more of a statistical resume and it’s hit or miss. He has made 46 three in HS at 32% which I think is ok. The free throw shooting is over 70% the last two seasons as well, which gives me some confidence he can improve the 3 point shot. I’m skeptical of guys that shoot under 70% being good NBA 3 point shooters. However, he was only 8-32 for 24% in the EYBL from three and shot 56% from the line which is a higher level with more eyes on him. He had a better go of it in the World cup for team USA though making 8 three’s in 7 games at 42%. He was one of the better players for Team USA averaging 11ppg 6rpg in 20 minutes too. The FT shoot was also in the 50’s again though. He wasn’t getting a lot of blocks or steals at any level either. He was more dominant for Team USA the previous season and others seem to be catching up to him.
|7. Oklahoma City|
Matas Buzelis was one of the first prospects I watched and was most interested in seeing. He is tall but didn’t seem long. I looked that up and his wingspan measured 6-10 just like his height reportedly. In the video I watched he did run the court well and had a nice floater game. The ball handling and passing weren’t spectacular but it was good enough he could play on the wing I think. He will certainly need to at least early on as well, he is probably years away from being strong enough at his weight anywhere near the basket. The only stats I can find were from the EYBL which is certainly a high level. He played well averaging. 13.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 2.4 APG. He was 8-28 from three for 28% and 28-39 from the line for 72% which is more hopeful in 10 games. The lack of 3 point volume as well as the makes is not as promising though.
The real question mark not having his statistics is how well he shoots, particularly the 3 pointer. That will be vital and a big determining factor. There was very few three’s taken in the video’s a watched. The good news is he’s going to play in the GLeague so we will get plenty of video and a complete record of his stats playing a more NBA comparable game. What I saw was pretty solid all in all, there seemed to be a nice potential in Buzelis. He has some ball handling skills and passing as a 6-10 player so I think you can always grow into the body.
Watching video it was pretty obvious the guy is a good shooter,. The way he was getting them off and with the versatility of step backs and pull ups I think that has to be his best skill. We don’t have a lot of updated stats, but he shot 114-140 for 81% from the line as a freshman in high school and 47-127 from there for 37% from 3. That’s a good indication to me that his shooing is pretty solid. He also has good size at 6-4. I thought he had good ball handling skills that allowed him to use a solid first step. He doesn’t have wow-you athleticism, but I’d say it’s above average for his size, and the sweep and sway shooting form was perfect. He only played 1 game in the EYBL so there’s not a lot to glean from there. He did average 12ppg, 4.5apg for one of the best teams in the nation at Oak Hill. No three point percentages though, but it would surprise me if he wasn’t a pretty solid shooter there. He seems to project as a nice shooting combo guard that can play some point guard and has pretty good size.
|9. New York|
Mgbako averaged 16.2ppg, 7.1rpg, 1.8apg and less than one block or steal in 26 minutes in the EYBL. He only got to the line a 15 times in 9 games although he did make 13 which at least was positive. 13-66 from 3 for 19% is the bad and barely 40% from the floor overall. That was having less offensive pressure with Deguan Wagner on his team getting most of the game plan.
Watching the video he’s athletic as you would expect but what is he really doing on the court of value. He’s not being a disruption on defense in anything that actually shows forcing turnovers and he’s not efficient. 66 three’s in 9 games is getting them up for his size, so you can’t really say it’s a small sample. At least he took them at a volume like he was good. The ball handling was pretty solid for a guy his size. I think you are just banking on future potential here in that size. While he wasn’t an explosive seeming athlete he was athletic and handled the ball well enough and was pretty smooth to take a chance on.
|SIMEON WILCHER||6-5||165||North Carolina|
Watching the video’s he’s very athletic and bouncy. He used this athletic ability well to get to the rim and finish. He didn’t seem overly long, but he does have good size and athletic ability, so it’s a good baseline to build on. Apparently, he made 28 last season while averaging 19ppg, less than one a game, playing 30 games. So the three-point shooting wasn’t a major part of his game at this point, clearly even if the percentage was decent, the volume is dare you to shoot level. He facilitated pretty well at 5.2 per game, which is nice to see, some hope for him to be a primary ball handler where the lack of outside shooting is more manageable. The ball handing was solid, and he was decisive when he went to the basket, it was a quick straight line, not a lot of shaking and baking. Shooting is also the most learnable skill.
|11. LA Lakers|
|DAJUAN WAGNER JR.||6-2||160||Undecided|
Dajuan Wagner Jr has a chance to become the first 3rd generation NBA player ever, after both his grandfather and father played in the NBA. If the genetics are part of the calculus, neither had noteworthy careers. Dajuan Sr’s career was cut short by health issues, but even when healthy at the start of his NBA career it was pretty underwhelming. Dajuan Sr and Dajuan Jr’s games seem very similar as scorers who do nothing else. 19.8 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 3.1 apg and 3.2 spg was Wagner’s Jr year stats. His EYBL stats were a little better for assist at 20.3ppg, 5.2apg, 3.5rpg while shooting 35% from three. He only shot 65% from the line though and didn’t get there much at 3.8 attempts a game in 32 minutes. That’s a little troubling if he’s not going to be an elite shooter how he scores efficiently if he doesn’t get to the line much or make them. He measured 6-1, 152 at team USA this summer and while there is probably more of a place in today’s NBA for a 6-1 scorer most players this size do not get drafted highly. He really needs to grow some more or learn to facilitate I think to get serious consideration as a high-end lottery pick. I saw nothing that screamed future star at this point or make me want to spend a high lottery pick on him.
|12. New Orleans|
Fall is as skinny and with his build, it appears he could be a hard gainer. He is really long and a major deterrent around the rim and he moved his feet well enough to guard out on the perimeter. He had some surprising ball handling and fade away 15 footers. He didn’t dunk a lot around the rim, more finesse lay ups and post ups. In 4 games in the EYBL he did put up some outstanding numbers. 22.5ppg, 10.8rpg, 3.2bpg on 60% from the floor, 62% from the line and he made 1 of 2 from 3 indicating he will take one. He got to the line 21 times in 4 games which is good quality. The bad is he averaged 7.2 turnovers in 4 games. He had 11 in one game alone. I’m not sure what to make of that. You could say small sample size certainly and ignore it but that is at a level so bad it’s hard to ignore even over 4 games.
He had 28 points in the game he has 11 turnovers so I assume he was really aggressive but that discounts a lot of the good. The video didn’t really pop for me. He’s doing some nice things but the kind of post ups he was using to get his offense I can’t see working in the NBA until he gains 50 pounds. It’s going to be a long wait if ever, and even at that point posting up isn’t efficient unless you are Embid and he’s not. The defense alone could be enough though so having any other path to being even decent on offense is a plus. There were a flash or two of ball handling or moves that were intriguing. It’s good to see players at his age at least try things and be aggressive. You can always back off the gas.
|13. LA Clippers|
Bradshaw jammed everything around the rim with authority. He averaged 13.3ppg, 7.3rpg, 3.0bpg, in 28.3 minutes over 13 games in the EYBL. He shot 60% from the floor and what is most intriguing was that he was 27-33 for 82% from the foul line and he averaged 1 steal a game. He didn’t get to the line a lot but shooting as well as he did even in that small sample is a good indication he might eventually have some shooting ability. It seems he knew his role on that team playing with Wagner and Mgbako and played it well. Fitting in can be important too and he did the things I believe you want to see a big man doing well. The FT shooting is a cherry on top. The rebounding is pretty light and my concern, and it’s 13 games which isn’t a small sample. It’s also one of the more transferable skills and most important for a 7 footer.
Walter has nice size and athletic ability and displayed some passing vision on the video. He had good straight line speed and displayed adequate ballhandling. The few three’s in the highlights were more of a set shot with limited versatility. There is some upside here but nothing that really popped, then I looked up the stats in the EYBL and was pretty stunned. He averaged 22.9ppg, 4.2rpg, 2.9apg in 7 games and a pretty active 2.1spg and 1.0bpg. Only 1.7 turnovers a game was nice and almost no fouls with only 2 in 7 games. What was the most impressive was he got to the line 52 times in 7 games and made 48 for 92%. If you can make foul shots like that, you have my attention. There was almost no evidence he was getting to the line at this rate, as some video is deceiving. Everyone looks great on highlights and I watched more of his than most and got to say I was less impressed than normal. He also made 18 threes at 37% on good volume. The shooting and size is something to work with. He’s not flashy, but he seems pretty good where I think you want him to be good at. The numbers in the EYBL are very impressive. If he gets it done at a high level over a college season he will find his way higher.
I thought Risacher ballhandling and smoothness were better than anyone 6-7 to 6-9 I have watched in this class. He also moved his feet well on defense, and a nice first step combined with his ball handling that got him to the rim a lot where he had nice body control. He seems to be lacking in explosive athleticism which is why he’s not even showing up highly in European Rankings. He averaged 11.1ppg, 4.1rpg 1.9apg, 1.1spg over 39 games last year in various European leagues last season. He even got on the court in 3 games in the Euroleague. It’s pretty impressive stuff at his age and overall he shot 32% from three from the international line, 73% from FT with a 15.8 PER, .537 True Shooting and 91.0 Defensive Rating which is believable the way he moves his feet at his size. He also averaged 10ppg and 7rpg and 3.2spg in the World Cup for France. I think NBA teams will ultimately shy away from him without the explosive athletic ability but I’d draft him higher personally. He’s the sleeper of this draft IMO and someone I will be watching to climb boards.
In 13 games this summer in the World Cup and Euro championships Almansa averaged 13.9ppg, 11.3rpg, 1.3bpg on 59% from the floor in 26 minutes a game playing mostly PF beside of Mara. He didn’t even take any three’s and shot 38% from the FT line. He is obviously productive on that stage and he is young. I thought he ran the court well, had some impressive spin moves handling the ball and reasonably athletic. The biggest concern was what he didn’t do at Overtime Elite. Only 6.4ppg, 4.9rpg in 20 minutes a game.
|17. Oklahoma City|
Biliew is bouncy and athletic and dunked with authority around the basket, but I didn’t see much in the way of ball handling. He was pretty adept at cutting to the basket. I would think his future is at PF, and he will probably need to grow a little or develop some passable wing skills since he’s projecting as a tweener right now. He made enough 3’s in the highlights that it seems to be part of his game. He didn’t do a whole lot in the EYBL averaging 9.2ppg, 4.6rpg in 20 minutes a game over 5 games. It’s reasonably productive. He was only 0-3 from three and 8-11 from the foul line. He’s someone to keep an eye on and hope isn’t finished growing. He did have a nice 12 points 6 rebounds in 21 minutes at the hoop summit vs mostly class of 22 guys.
Dennis Evans. 11.6ppg, 10rpg, 7.0bpg 55% from the floor and 60% from the line his Junior season. 7 blocks on any level should be attention-grabbing for a 7-1 guy at any level. I do like that he isn’t a complete zero from the foul line a lot of these 7-1 shotblockers with 7-7″ wingspans and 9-7″ standing reaches don’t grow on tree. The length is Rudy Gobert like and would already among the longest in NBA history if accurate. 63% from the line is pretty respectable the last 2 seasons for a young guy this size. Defensive bigs like this aren’t as valued as they once were, but I still think he will need to have a look. With the respectable FT shooting, maybe there is a path to him doing a little more than just rolling to the rim and maybe even some 3 point hope eventually. At least enough to take a few. The length and shotblocking alone have to keep him from dropping like Gobert did. Are teams going to make the same mistake. I get most teams are going to swing for he fences (and strike out BTW) but he seems like a solid double and a safe pick to give you a positive important skill. He possibly could be an elite defender with that length and instincts. He only played 5 minutes a game for team USA though which concerns me.
The history on 7-3 guys in the league and draft isn’t that great in the modern NBA. The only guys close to this height in the league are Porzingis, Bol Bol, Bobon, and Tacko Fall. None of them probably pass like Mara projects to be able to though. He also moves his feet well and displays good footwork and post moves for his size. The shooting is not there at this point but is something he could potentially develop but with his FT shooting doesn’t seem to project as a 3 point shooter. He averaged 12ppg, 5rpg, 1.6apg, 2bpg in 18 minutes a game while shooting 70% in 7 world cup games. This included 16 points vs team USA helping power Spain to a Silver. There seems to be little question he can be productive when he plays, but so is Bobon. The question is how much a team will invest when the recent history isn’t great on the really tall big men getting on the court. The high Teens seems about right. Mara did play some games in the pro leagues but they went about what you would expect from a 17 year old. 10 PER, .45% true shooting basically.
Dillingham is small and very thin, still, he tore up the EYBL scoring. Physically he doesn’t look ready but he averaged 19.9ppg in 13 games on .52% from the floor 28-73 for .384% from 3 on good volume and 79% from the line. The bad is he didn’t do much else. (3.2apg, 2.5rpg, 0.8spg). Just like with Wagner there is a place for a scoring 6-1 guard, I just don’t see using a high draft pick on one unless they grow or learn to facilitate better. Dillingham at least does get to the line more and make them at a better percentage and shot better from 3. Wagner seems to be ahead of Dillingham as a facilitator, and that’s likely what will decide if they are a starter or 6th man scorer type off the bench at their size.
Kwame Evans Jr was not impressive in the EYBL. 8.9ppg, 4.7rpg and he shot 3-20 from three in 12 games. 47% from the line and didn’t block many shots. In the highlights he did make a few three’s indicating he’s likely better than he showed up 3-20 at the EYBL. He didn’t really do much else that stood out though. He has size, he’s athletic but he didn’t have the same level of smoothness or skill as some of the guys ahead of him.
Carlyle played for Team USA this summer, and it wasn’t pretty. 6 games 13 minutes a game, 36% from the floor 24% from three point range, and he got to the line 2 times. He also measured 6-2. Just being selected is an honor and counts for something, and it’s a really small sample. Watching the video, he appears much more athletic than either Dillingham or Wagner. He’s very explosive but he doesn’t look as smooth or to have as good of instincts as either from what I saw. The ball handling was probably a notch below as well. The athletic ability alone though means upside. I wish we had more statistics on this one to know if there is any ability to shoot. Ultimately, I don’t have to wonder as much about Wagner or Dillingham’s shooting. Wilcher has better size with his athletic ability.
The 20’s are the level teams that are contenders will start drafting the best college talent and proven players. There are a lot of unknowns about who will go an stay in 2023 but there are a few of the top players I would expect to stay in school given the NIL pay now and normal draft trajectory. Omoruyi has the size and proven play (11.9ppg, 7.8rpg, 1.3bpg 22.6 PER) He will be 22 years old which is older than you would like to draft but he’s a force in the Big 10. He anchors a solid Big Ten defense. I think he doesn’t hear what he wants to in 2023 and will probably stay in school all 4 years with NIL money and have a big senior season in 2 years.
|24. Golden State|
Broome was a force in the OVC (16.8ppg, 10.9rpg, 3.9bpg 32.6 PER) but I believe will be a force as well at Auburn replacing Walker Kessler. It’s possible he could leave in the 2023 draft but I expect he will get some NIL money and find his draft prospects not as exciting at his age that he sticks around until 2024 and graduates. He will be 22 years old just after the draft which is pretty much the cut off for the first round these days. He probably just squeezes in late in the 1st round with his level of rebounding and especially shotblocking.
Sarr is 7 feet tall with a 7-3 wingspan and he is young. That’s always going to get you a look. He did play for France in the World Cup this summer and was productive 12.1ppg, 4.5rpg, 1.5bpg, 1.3spg in 18 minutes a game on 58% from the floor. That was over 12 games of qualifying and world cup winning the bronze. It’s a good sign. What wasn’t was the 6ppg and 4rpg he averaged in 20 minutes for Overtime Elite in 12 games on 48% from the floor. At this position in the draft he would have potential at his age and size. Watching some video he can handle a little and does take a few threes which are helpful.
The stats were not good in the EYBL. 10.5ppg, 3.9rpg, 2.3apg, 1.0spg, 0.5bpg 2.1 turnovers in 23 minutes a game over 12 games. 35% from the floor, 65% from the line and .298% from three on marginal 17-57 volume. Statistically, it’s never really been there, but you see flashes of athleticism and he is certainly going to get a chance. Lebron is going to make that happen if they decide to in this draft, and frankly in the late 1st round someone should probably take a flyer on the genes alone and potential development. There isn’t much opportunity cost. The sweetener is Lebron said he wanted to play with his son and would make that happen, so you may get him as well. Perhaps on a buyout or nice contract even. He signed an extension with the Lakers but I can’t see them not accommodating Lebron. When Bronny James makes plays like this it makes it a lot easier too.
Tubelis 13.9ppg, 6.2rpg, 2.4apg 24.4 PER he will be 22 years old and likey one of the best players in college. The way things set up now though these types of players that don’t project as high NBA draft picks can make 2nd round money at places like Arizona and don’t have the incentive to leave. If he sticks around which I think he will all 4 years then he’s a proven commodity in the 2024 draft. The problem in his game is that he doesn’t block shots or make many three’s or even rebound at a high level. He does pass some and is efficient around the rim. He has the size skill though and his free throw shooting is decent enough I think he can add a more reliable three and at least enough of a level to take them in the NBA.
Samodurov averaged 11ppg 6rpg in 3 games in the European Championships this summer, and a productive 10.3ppg, 4.8rpg with some active defensive stats 1.4bpg, 1.5spg on 70% true shooting and 22 PER in 8 games in European leagues this season. Very productive numbers for sure with solid size. He also made a few three’s at .33% showing he is capable on an international line. The free throw shooting was in the mid 60’s in both.
Nijel Pack I think is a player that should make an immediate impact in the NBA and he better at at 23 or his chance will be short. Not many players his age get drafted but I think he’s the proven version of what you want someone like Wagner to be. Pack is already the 2nd best college guard statistically in 2022 even if he doesn’t project to the NBA as well. He has a 2 year NIL contract paying him over 400k a year so I do think he will stay in college until 2024 his senior year.
The numbers in the Big 12 vs the SOS he played are impeccable. He’s even played on the ball and been an ok facilitator 2 years ago. He’s the kind of player a contender should and probably will want in the late 1st early 2nd round and I think someone should jump up and get at this kind of spot. Teams like Dallas will be chasing immediate help and he would still line up on Luka’s timeline and they will need the help and be in retain Luka mode I expect the next two years after losing Brunson. He’s could even be an eventual Brunson type replacement.
I am not as big of a believer in Emoni Bates as most. I actually wouldn’t project him to have one of the best statistical seasons even in the MAC in this upcoming 2022-23 season. That said he’s still only 18 years old and will not turn 19 until the end of January. He was a really young prospect playing in a college basketball as old as it’s ever been vs one of the strongest SOS at Memphis. He played decent enough considering how young and the lack of strength he had. I do think he will improve, put up numbers but likely still underwhelming efficiency for the level he is at. I still expect someone to be intrigued enough by the height and ball handling to take a late first round flyer on him which ever year he comes out. He will still only be 20 years old in the 2024 draft as well. That’s probably the year I would expect him to start dominating the MAC. He better dominate it if he wants to be drafted though. Still I do think someone will take a chance on the pedigree like they did with Patrick Baldwin at the end of the draft. Still as young as he will be and it could pay off. These contenders this late can send him to the Gleague and wait on him too.