Our model, ADJeff ratings, are just a rating of the D1 players and their Adjust Efficiency by strength of schedule.There are other factors we consider in the overall team rankings like coaching, continuity, incoming freshmen, JUCO, team build, fit, etc.
Team ADJeff
2023 NET
1
San Diego St
3.4
14
2
New Mexico
3.5
54
3
Boise State
2.8
29
4
UNLV
3.8
91
5
Colorado State
3.1
110
6
Nevada
3.0
37
7
San Jose St.
2.9
95
8
Fresno St.
2.6
146
9
Utah St.
2.3
18
10
Air Force
2.0
149
11
Wyoming
2.0
172
Last season was a banner season for the conference since its formation with San Diego State making it to the national title game. The conference also ranked 5th in NET over the ACC and Pac-12. That’s a massive leap after finishing 12th in NET as a conference just 2 seasons ago. They’ve proven in the past they can compete from top to bottom with some of the power conferences in RPI, but the 5-year-old NET rankings hadn’t been as kind to the conference until last season with finishes from 8th to 12th in the previous 4 seasons. They return to what should be another solid season, but they should step back to the more usual 8th spot. San Diego State is a borderline top 25 team, but we worry about the loss of Nathan Mensah, he was a big part of the defense San Diego State relied on and what made them good. His defensive rating was 5 points better per 100 than the #2 best player. If any team is going to take a step forward this season keep your eye on New Mexico.
