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Big East Basketball Preview 2023-24

2023-2024 Big East Basketball Predictions & Preview

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Our model, ADJeff ratings, are just a rating of the D1 players and their Adjust Efficiency by strength of schedule. There are other factors we consider in the overall team rankings like coaching, continuity, incoming freshmen, JUCO, team build, fit, etc.

8Seton Hall2.977

The Top Big East Players by Adjusted Efficiency

4Ryan KalkbrennerCreighton27.86.0
11Zach FreemantleXavier23.75.0
12Eric DixonVillanova24.64.9
16Joel SorianoSt. John’s27.04.7
20Donovan ClinganUConn34.14.6
21Tyler KolekMarquette22.54.5
29Oso IghodaroMarquette22.04.4
33Steven AshworthCreighton22.64.3
45Kameron JonesMarquette20.64.2
52Cam SpencerUConn21.44.2
63Trey AlexanderCreighton18.04.0
65Baylor ScheiermanCreighton17.83.9
65Kadary RichmondSeton Hall19.03.9
82Hakim HartVillanova18.23.7
86Devin CarterProvidence19.73.7
87Justin MooreVillanova16.93.7
91Tyler BurtonVillanova22.13.6
93Bryce HopkinsProvidence19.43.6
96Josh OduroProvidence25.063.6
106Abou OusmaneXavier24.83.6
108Tristen NewtonUConn17.93.5
113TJ BambaVillanova17.23.5
130Da’Sean NelsonDePaul16.13.4
146Alex KarabanUConn15.43.1
179Jerome HunterXavier17.93.1
208Posh AlexanderButler17.62.9
212Jordan DingleSt. John’s25.12.8
223Dayvion McKnightXavier20.22.8
235Chris LedlumSt. John’s25.92.8
239Al-Amir DawesSeton Hall13.02.7
256Jay HeathGtown13.82.7
258Jeremiah OdenDePaul15.42.7
262Glenn Taylor Jr.St. John’s14.22.6
279Dre DavisSeton Hall20.12.6
285Dylan Addae-WusuSeton Hall14.02.5

Last Years NET

Seton Hall77
Saint John’s98

Creighton (21-13, #17 NET)

I wouldnt’ have had the Blue Jay’s this high just by the eye test, but the model is off the charts for them. Ryan Kalkbrenner is one of the best players in the nation and I believe they got better with Steven Ashworth . By the numbers this is an improvement over Ryan Nembhard in our model. Ashworth was the best nonbig in the country available in the portal. Arthur Kaluma elected to transfer as well, and some say that might be addition by subtraction. If he knew his role he would be great on this team as a wing stopper, but it has plenty of highly efficient scorers and didn’t need him for a usage role.

Ryan KalkbrennerSr7-1
Steven AshworthSr6-1
Trey AlexanderJr6-4
Baylor ScheiermanSr6-7
Mason MillerSo6-8
Isaac TraudtFr6-10
Johnathan LawsonSo6-6
Francisco FarabelloSr6-3
Fredrick KingSo6-10
Jasen GreenFr6-7
Ryan Kalkbrenner7-015.9 Pts, 6.1 Reb, 1.2 Ast
Trey Alexander6-413.6 Pts, 4.2 Reb, 2.6 Ast
Baylor Scheierman6-612.8 Pts, 8.3 Reb, 3.3 Ast
Fredrick King6-103.4 Pts, 2.5 Reb, 0.1 Ast
Francisco Farabello6-43.0 Pts, 1.3 Reb, 0.9 Ast
Mason Miller6-82.3 Pts, 1.6 Reb, 0.2 A
Top 250PERADJeff
4Ryan KalkbrennerCreighton27.86.0
33Steven AshworthCreighton22.64.3
63Trey AlexanderCreighton18.04.0
65Baylor ScheiermanCreighton17.83.9


5Steven Ashworth6’1Utah St22.64.3

Marquette (29-7, #13 NET)

Shaka Smart returned most of his main contributors. Kameron Jones didn’t test the NBA Draft which was a bit of a surprise after an unexpectedly strong season. Olivier-Maxence Prosper did however enter the draft and will not return. Everyone else came back and are really young meaning there should be some improvement on a typical team. That said I think they played some over their head last season as a preseason 9th projection in the Big East. I wouldn’t expect another huge leap rather than maintenance in this case.

It wouldn’t shock me if they actually slumped or took some step back even before the loss of Olivier-Maxence Prosper. Water already seemed to find its level in the NCAA tournament as is typically the case with teams that were unexpectedly high seeds without the preseason accolades as history has shown. However, Prosper isn’t the greatest loss in our opinion as he was 4th on the team statistically. That is the good news. Overall there were more players than we expected to stay in the draft on other top teams like UConn this year so this feels like you have to have them here with what they return.

Tyler KolekSr6-3
Oso IghodaroSr6-9
Kameron JonesJr6-4
Stevie MitchellJr6-2
David JoplinJr6-7
Chase RossSo6-4
Sean JonesSo5-10
Tre NormanFr6-3
Ben GoldSo6-11
Zaide LoweryFr6-4

Kameron Jones6-415.1 Pts, 3.6 Reb, 2.0 Ast
Tyler Kolek6-312.9 Pts, 4.1 Reb, 7.5 Ast
Oso Ighodaro6-911.4 Pts, 5.9 Reb, 3.3 Ast
David Joplin6-79.2 Pts, 3.2 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Stevie Mitchell6-27.1 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Chase Ross6-44.6 Pts, 1.7 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Sean Jones5-103.6 Pts, 0.8 Reb, 1.1 Ast
Ben Gold6-112.7 Pts, 1.0 Reb, 0.2 Ast
Top 250PERADJeff
21Tyler KolekMarquette22.54.5
29Oso IghodaroMarquette22.04.4
45Kameron JonesMarquette20.64.2

Class of 2023

98Tre Norman6’3Marquette
141Zaide Lowery6’4Marquette

UConn (29-8, #8 NET)

UConn could have returned everyone that matters from a dominant NCAA Championship run. Unfortunately for them Jordan Hawkins , Andre Jackson, and Adama Sanogo entered the NBA draft and capitalized while their stock is high. Considering where Sanogo was mocked I would have thought it would have made some sense for him to return on a similar if not more lucrative NIL deal.

Even with Sanogo not returning Donovan Clingan behind him should be the next big thing with a 35 PER in his limited role last year. The key will be staying out of foul trouble. They also have 5-Star Stephon Castle coming in. Tristen Newton will use his extra 5th year’s covid season. Newton and Alex Karaban are capable of more in our opinion, especially Newton as a primary scorer. This is a player that averaged 38ppg in 5A Texas High School, before averaging 18ppg mostly in a quality American Conference on a 57.5% True Shooting, and stepped up in the championship game as a primary scorer. This was a stacked team that had a dominating run on the way to the championship-winning by 20 points on average. They only trailed for 40 seconds in the 2nd half during the entire NCAA tournament.

This however will be a much different team now, but one that still has talent and some core experience. UConn likely waited on the players that entered the NBA to return before going into the portal and seemed to have been a little burned but recovered nicely with late addition Cam Spencer .

Tristen NewtonSr6-5
Alex KarabanSo6-8
Cam SpencerSr6-4
Stephon CastleFr6-6
Solomon BallFr6-3
Donovan ClinganSo7-2
Hassan DiarraSr6-2
Samson JohnsonJr6-10
Jaylin StewartFr6-7
Jayden RossFr6-7
Tristen Newton6-510.1 Pts, 4.5 Reb, 4.7 Ast
Alex Karaban6-89.3 Pts, 4.5 Reb, 1.7 Ast
Donovan Clingan7-26.9 Pts, 5.6 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Hassan Diarra6-22.1 Pts, 1.3 Reb, 1.8 Ast
Top 250PERADJeff
20Donovan ClinganUConn34.064.6
52Cam SpencerUConn21.44.2
104Tristen NewtonUConn17.93.5
146Alex KarabanUConn15.43.1


8Cam Spencer6?4Rutgers21.4UConn4.2

Class of 2023

Rank2023 Class
24Stephon Castle6?6?UConn
39Soloman Ball6?3UConn
75Jaylin Stewart6?7?UConn
122Jayden Ross6?7?UConn

Villanova (17-17 #51 NET)

Villanova has great talent, but I’m not sure how much I trust the coaching yet. By our model, they have top 5 to 10 type of talent. This season should give Nova fans a much better picture if they have replaced Jay Wright with the right man. Fordham improving after Kyle Neptune moved on from 16-16 to 25-8 is a little bit of a redflag.

Eric DixonSr6-8
Justin MooreSr6-4
Hakim HartSr6-8
TJ BambaSr6-5
Tyler BurtonSr6-7
Mark ArmstrongSo6-2
Jordan LonginoJr6-5
Chris ArcidiaconoSr6-4
Trey PattersonJr6-9
Brendan HausenSo6-4
Top 250PERADJeff
12Eric DixonVillanova24.54.9
82Hakim HartVillanova18.23.7
87Justin MooreVillanova16.93.7
91Tyler BurtonVillanova22.13.6
113TJ BambaVillanova17.23.5

St. John’s

Rick Pitino has a few more years in coaching and will try to revive St. John’s before retirement. He’s well on his way assembling a lot of talent this off-season. He should be elevated to one of the top coaches in the nation again after an interesting fall from grace and return back for the Hall of Famer.

Joel SorianoSr6-11
Jordan DingleSr6-3
Daniss JenkinsSr6-3
Chris LedlumSr6-6
Glenn Taylor Jr.Jr6-6
Nahiem AlleyneSr6-4
Simeon WilcherFr6-4
Zuby EjioforSo6-9
RJ LuisSo6-6
Cruz DavisSo6-3
Top 250
16Joel SorianoSt. John’s26.94.7
212Jordan DingleSt. John’s25.12.8
235Chris LedlumSt. John’s25.92.8
252Glenn Taylor Jr.St. John’s14.22.6


Kim English is in as the new coach. He has a lot of talent returning and brought Josh Oduro over with him from George Mason. George Mason wasn’t very impressive though so the question seems to be more with English than the talent.

Bryce HopkinsJr6-7
Devin CarterJr6-3
Josh OduroSr6-9
Garwey DualFr6-5
Davonte GainesSr6-7
Corey Floyd Jr.So6-4
Jayden PierreSo6-2
Will McNair Jr.Sr6-11
Rafael CastroSo6-11
Justyn FernandezSo6-5
Top 250
86Devin CarterProvidence19.73.7
93Bryce HopkinsProvidence19.43.6
96Josh OduroProvidence25.063.6

Xavier (27-10, #22 NET)

They lose Souley Boum and Jack Nunge and Colby Jones but return Zach Freemantle. Xavier will have talent but I’d like to see a little more of it dispersed in the backcourt. If McKnight or Olivari were to be injured I think it has the potential to cripple the team some.

Zach FreemantleSr6-9
Dayvion McKnightSr6-1
Jerome HunterSr6-8
Quincy OlivariSr6-3
Desmond ClaudeSo6-5
Abou OusmaneSr6-10
Kam CraftSo6-6
Trey GreenFr5-10
Dailyn SwainFr6-6
Reid DucharmeFr6-6
Top 250
11Zach FreemantleXavier23.75.0
106Abou OusmaneXavier24.83.6
179Jerome HunterXavier17.93.1
223Dayvion McKnightXavier20.22.8


25Abou Ousmane6’10N. Texas24.83.6
74Dayvion McKnight6’1WKU20.22.8
137Quincy Olivari6’2Rice18.12.4

Class of 2023

84Reid Ducharme6’6Brewster AcademyXavier
106Dailyn Swain6’7AfricentricXavier
115Trey Green5’10Link AcademyXavier

Seton Hall

Kadary Richmond returns and seems capable of more. He’s a well-rounded 6-6 player who is good at a lot of aspects. Averaging 10ppg, 5rpg, 4apg. He shot 44% from three but on a very small volume. He’s a career 37.5% three point shooter on 112 shots so he seems to have more potential to explore as a shooter if he upts his usage. It’s a strong perimeter group, but the post players are the question mark.

Kadary RichmondSr6-6
Dre DavisSr6-6
Al-Amir DawesSr6-2
Dylan Addae-WusuSr6-4
Jaden BediakoSr6-10
Isaiah ColemanFr6-5
Elijah Hutchins-EverettJr6-11
Sadraque NgaNgaSo6-10
Jaquan SandersSo6-4
JaQuan HarrisFr6-3
65Kadary RichmondSeton Hall19.03.9
239Al-Amir DawesSeton Hall132.7
279Dre DavisSeton Hall20.12.6
285Dylan Addae-WusuSeton Hall14.02.5


Tony Stubblefield has some nice long wings in Nelson and Oden, but I wouldn’t expect a lot from them this season.

Da’Sean NelsonSr6-8
Chico Carter Jr.Sr6-3
Jalen TerrySr6-0
Jeremiah OdenSr6-8
Caleb MurphySr6-4
Elijah FisherSo6-6
Keyondre YoungJr6-9
Jaden HenleySo6-7
Zion CruzSo6-4
Mac EtienneSo6-10
130Da’Sean NelsonDePaul16.13.4
258Jeremiah OdenDePaul15.42.7
376Elijah FisherDePaul112.1
410Chico Carter Jr.DePaul11.92


Ed Cooley left Providence to take the Georgetown job within the conference. That should be a fun return game.

Jayden EppsSo6-2
Jay HeathSr6-3
Ismael MassoudSr6-9
Supreme CookSr6-9
Dontrez StylesJr6-6
Wayne Bristol Jr.Sr6-6
Rowan BrumbaughFr6-4
Ryan MutomboJr7-2
Drew FielderFr6-9
Drew McKennaFr6-7
256Jay HeathGtown13.82.7
344Jayden EppsGtown12.22.3
398Ismael MassoudGTown11.12


Last season was a bit of a surprise that Thad Matta didn’t get Butler going more than he was able to. The loss of Manny Bates is a big one.

DJ DavisSr6-1
Posh AlexanderSr6-0
Jahmyl TelfortSr6-7
Jalen ThomasSr6-10
Pierre BrooksJr6-6
Landon MooreSo6-3
Finley BizjackFr6-3
Andre ScreenSr7-0
Boden KapkeFr6-10
Connor TurnbullSo6-10
208Posh AlexanderButler17.62.9
300Jalen ThomasButler172.5
396DJ DavisButler17.82.1
455Camren HunterButler19.31.7

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